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Offline Falling_Droplet  
#101 Posted : Saturday, 28 September 2019 4:05:41 PM(UTC)
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Severe thunderstorm warning for the Sunshine Coast cell have been cancelled now.

Quote:
Cancellation Severe Thunderstorm Warning - Southeast Queensland
For people in Sunshine Coast and Moreton Bay Council Areas.

Issued at 3:57 pm Saturday, 28 September 2019.

Severe thunderstorms have moved offshore the Sunshine Coast, the severe thunderstorm threat has eased for the Sunshine Coast.

Weather Situation:

Severe thunderstorms are no longer affecting the Southeast Queensland area (east of Dalby from Rainbow Beach to Stanthorpe). The immediate threat of severe thunderstorms has passed, but the situation will continue to be monitored and further warnings will be issued if necessary.
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Colmait on 28/09/2019(UTC), sharjay on 28/09/2019(UTC), DelBoy on 28/09/2019(UTC), i4hanish on 28/09/2019(UTC), crikey on 29/09/2019(UTC)
Offline sharjay  
#102 Posted : Saturday, 28 September 2019 4:23:35 PM(UTC)
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Well that totally missed us. Few drops of rain barely enough to wet the road. Looks like Caloundra got some decent hail according to local paper's website. Thought our storm season here might have kicked off with a bang looking at the radar earlier.
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Falling_Droplet on 28/09/2019(UTC), DelBoy on 28/09/2019(UTC), Colmait on 28/09/2019(UTC), i4hanish on 28/09/2019(UTC), NoDrops on 28/09/2019(UTC), crikey on 29/09/2019(UTC)
Offline Colmait  
#103 Posted : Saturday, 28 September 2019 4:30:23 PM(UTC)
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Thanks Crikey. Just a few drops here. Very dry storm around this area with the atmospheric conditions just not having enough moisture.

You did OK with a couple mm’s Pabloaka. Topography probably had a bit to did with where you are there.
Looking forward to the photo of the Kookaburra. BigGrin Day lightning is hard to capture at times. Sometimes it takes a few hundred shots. If it was like the coast storm and you have hundreds of strikes you have a greater chance. Some storms as we know will throw out thousands and you just point and shoot. Then pick your best shots.

The Sunshine Coast did nicely with the storm structure. Very nice shots Sharjay. A solid shelf cloud there.
Looking at WZ storm tracker and it was a very lightning active system.

A69B3478-E65F-43D3-9A5C-8DBDEB4FE5DA.png

Colin Maitland.
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Paul Atkins on 28/09/2019(UTC), Falling_Droplet on 28/09/2019(UTC), sharjay on 28/09/2019(UTC), i4hanish on 28/09/2019(UTC), NoDrops on 28/09/2019(UTC), crikey on 29/09/2019(UTC)
Offline i4hanish  
#104 Posted : Saturday, 28 September 2019 5:14:15 PM(UTC)
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Nice capture of those angry cells colmait and sharjay. The satellite picture just fascinating sat man' Thanks all.BigGrin

I had a look at CAPE for tomorrow and nothing there for this area .A tad for the mid coast which l will post there.



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sharjay on 28/09/2019(UTC), Colmait on 28/09/2019(UTC), crikey on 29/09/2019(UTC)
Offline DelBoy  
#105 Posted : Saturday, 28 September 2019 6:06:16 PM(UTC)
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3mm.of rain here in Cabo.

Sunny Coast Daily News paper is reporting hail in Caloundra and inland areas.

This image is from the news article.

https://m.sunshinecoastdaily.com.au/news/monster-winds-and-hail-reported-as-storms-roll-int/3841654/#/0

9-4897906-scn280919hail3_t1880.jpg
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Colmait on 28/09/2019(UTC), Falling_Droplet on 28/09/2019(UTC), sharjay on 28/09/2019(UTC), Greg on 28/09/2019(UTC), Pharbelle on 28/09/2019(UTC), Pabloako on 28/09/2019(UTC), crikey on 29/09/2019(UTC)
Offline Pharbelle  
#106 Posted : Saturday, 28 September 2019 8:34:28 PM(UTC)
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It's raining. BigGrin
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Falling_Droplet on 28/09/2019(UTC), Colmait on 28/09/2019(UTC), Pabloako on 28/09/2019(UTC), sharjay on 28/09/2019(UTC), crikey on 29/09/2019(UTC)
Offline Pabloako  
#107 Posted : Saturday, 28 September 2019 9:01:27 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Pharbelle Go to Quoted Post
It's raining. BigGrin


That's great to hear Pharbelle! It has been a while since we have had the smell of rain, so it makes a nice change.

(No doubt that by the end of January we may be sick of the rain.)
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Falling_Droplet on 28/09/2019(UTC), Colmait on 28/09/2019(UTC), sharjay on 28/09/2019(UTC), crikey on 29/09/2019(UTC)
Offline Falling_Droplet  
#108 Posted : Saturday, 28 September 2019 9:20:37 PM(UTC)
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No rainfall today. Later this afternoon the dew point drop slightly and has been stable and near average in the last few hours. Since 5:30 pm the wind have reverted back to NNW to NE of reducing wind speed.

Last 24 hours:

temp 2019-09-28.PNGhum 2019-09-28.PNGwind dir 2019-09-28.PNG
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Colmait on 28/09/2019(UTC), Pabloako on 28/09/2019(UTC), sharjay on 28/09/2019(UTC), crikey on 29/09/2019(UTC)
Offline crikey  
#109 Posted : Sunday, 29 September 2019 9:08:55 AM(UTC)
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Thanks 'delboy' for chasing up the picture of the hail.I am glad we didn't get that here. The damage is always expensive and an inconvenience.

Today we are still in the stalled tropical dip in isobars. However today is different because we have no precip' signal forecast.

I had a quick look in to this . Found that the windstreams are not really forming a trough pattern. There is some divergence embedded in wind streams over the trough (H)and so the air subsides instead of rises.


Tomorrow , Monday a weak precip' signal right up the east coast from sth NSW to sunshine coast.
Would be a good idea to check storm potential along this trough


UserPostedImage


29th sept19 dry trough.jpg

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Falling_Droplet on 29/09/2019(UTC), Tsunami on 29/09/2019(UTC), Colmait on 29/09/2019(UTC), Pabloako on 29/09/2019(UTC)
Offline Tsunami  
#110 Posted : Sunday, 29 September 2019 10:04:54 AM(UTC)
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Looks like bom did a good job forcasting yesterdays weather
Missed out totally here
So crick nothing today and slight possibility tommorrow
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Falling_Droplet on 29/09/2019(UTC)
Offline Tsunami  
#111 Posted : Sunday, 29 September 2019 10:05:56 AM(UTC)
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It wss great seeing wveryones posts yesterday
Just like weatherzone when it was a storm day
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Falling_Droplet on 29/09/2019(UTC)
Offline Tsunami  
#112 Posted : Sunday, 29 September 2019 10:14:57 AM(UTC)
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Of interest
Bom have southely change 15 to 20kts moving through early today
Going by wind speeds and directiom this hasnt happened
If a trough is about. Does that mean it hasn't moved through yet
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Falling_Droplet on 29/09/2019(UTC)
Offline Tsunami  
#113 Posted : Sunday, 29 September 2019 10:26:09 AM(UTC)
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Sorry posted last post twice

Edited by user Sunday, 29 September 2019 10:29:39 AM(UTC)  | Reason: Double up

Offline Falling_Droplet  
#114 Posted : Sunday, 29 September 2019 10:27:42 AM(UTC)
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Ferny Grove Weather
Date: 29 Sep 2019
Time: 10:00 AM

Min Temp since 9am yesterday: 13.9 C
Max Temp since 9am yesterday: 33.2 C
Min Ground Temp: 12.2 C
Rain since 9am yesterday: 0 mm

Temperature: 23.4 C
Relative Humidity: 48 %
Dew Point: 11.8 C
MSL Pressure: 1020 hPa
Wind Speed: 9 kph - light breeze
Wind Direction: ESE

Present Weather: Clouds generally dissolving or becoming less developed during the preceding hour
Visibility: 20km to 39km - Very Good Visibility
Cloud Cover: 1/8
Ground State: Ground dry

Notes of yesterday weather - 28/9/19: Fine. Partly cloudy with cu clouds with some ci clouds in the morning. Cu clouds building strongly from middle of day, cloudy in early afternoon, clearing from mid afternoon with some ci clouds from distant storms. A hot day with the maximum temperature reached in middle of the day before cooling in the afternoon with the increasing cloud. A brief rise in temperature in mid afternoon. Near average over the day with the dew point being stable early before falling during the morning and afternoon while remaining near average. at 2 pm the dew point rose sharply near average, then falling slightly in the afternoon becoming stable in the evening. Moderately low dew point early and during the day. At 2 pm the relative humidity rose sharply returning to near average in the evening. Light and variable winds early before N to WNW winds with some SSW to WNW winds from the early morning. ESE to NE seabreeze from 2 pm, N to NE in the late afternoon and N to NNW in the evening at times.

Today: There was short period of rising temperature followed by stable temperature before the temperature fell as usual from 2am. Near stable and near average dew point so far today. Moderately low overnight and close to average daytime relative humidity. Light SSW to W winds until 2am, then occasional SW winds before a wind change from 7 am with SE to ENE winds until now with some N to NE winds.
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Tsunami on 29/09/2019(UTC), Colmait on 29/09/2019(UTC)
Offline Tsunami  
#115 Posted : Sunday, 29 September 2019 12:30:22 PM(UTC)
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Sorry ken. Not having a dig just an observation. Interested why bom havnt updated marine forcast
forcast
15 to 20 knts south to south east and up to 25kts
Seems north east 10 kts to me
Offline Ken  
#116 Posted : Sunday, 29 September 2019 12:38:20 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Tsunami Go to Quoted Post
Sorry ken. Not having a dig just an observation. Interested why bom havnt updated marine forcast
forcast
15 to 20 knts south to south east and up to 25kts
Seems north east 10 kts to me

Not sure I get what you mean? The coastal waters forecasts issued early this morning had S to SE winds shifting NE in the late morning and early afternoon... which is exactly what's happened if you look at the obs for various places.

e.g. "Gold Coast waters forecast: South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore south of Point Lookout early in the morning. Winds shifting north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon."

vs GC seaway obs: http://www.bom.gov.au/pr...801/IDQ60801.94580.shtml

Edited by user Sunday, 29 September 2019 12:39:19 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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Falling_Droplet on 29/09/2019(UTC)
Offline Falling_Droplet  
#117 Posted : Sunday, 29 September 2019 12:47:51 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Tsunami Go to Quoted Post
Of interest
Bom have southely change 15 to 20kts moving through early today
Going by wind speeds and directiom this hasnt happened
If a trough is about. Does that mean it hasn't moved through yet


The wind change did come through which can be seen on the Bureau observations, with the BoM MSLP Analysis chart showing the trough moving northwards, with little weather with the change. As forecast winds are now starting to tend NE along the coast as it warms up and though is still S to SE along much of the coast.
Offline Tsunami  
#118 Posted : Sunday, 29 September 2019 12:47:54 PM(UTC)
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Fair call ken
I mistook it for changing ne early evening..opps
Offline Ken  
#119 Posted : Sunday, 29 September 2019 12:50:13 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Tsunami Go to Quoted Post
Fair call ken
I mistook it for changing ne early evening..opps


Lol no worries, I was wondering what you were talking about.
Offline crikey  
#120 Posted : Sunday, 29 September 2019 1:46:31 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Tsunami Go to Quoted Post
It wss great seeing wveryones posts yesterday
Just like weatherzone when it was a storm day



Yes . I do agree Tsunami. I believe it was an interesting day on the forum and so much like what it used to be like.Thanks to Paul for making this possible.

I will say though,The BOM forecast for widespread storm across the region did very well. There was a corridor of less if l remember near Brisbane but that may have been asaociated with the mid level inversion the soundings were showing in that region.

I was however disappointed with ACC r which totally missed the southern activity. I suspect ACCESS r has a lifted index component but not a CAPE component in its forecasting algorithm.It doesn't see storm potential l believe.
Lets see how the new updated version pans out in the future.






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Tsunami on 30/09/2019(UTC)
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