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🌩️ Saturday Outlook – Southeast QLD & Northern NSW
Storm potential: Low to marginal
🔹 Overview of the set ups by triangulating the three sounding from Charleville, Moree and Brisbane.
Saturday’s setup looks largely suppressed across inland and coastal Southeast Queensland, extending into the Northern Rivers of NSW.
Despite some surface instability, dry mid-level air between 700–500 hPa is expected to cap convection and limit storm coverage.

* Key Features
Mid-level dryness: Strong around the Darling Downs and inland areas, preventing deep convection.
Surface conditions: Warm to hot inland, with limited low-level moisture depth.
Triggering: Weak overall — sea-breeze ororographic lift may help near the coast, but most regions remain capped.

* Regional Breakdown

🌤 Darling Downs / Toowoomba / Dalby: Very dry and capped. Little to no storm activity expected.

🌦️ Brisbane / Gold Coast / Northern Rivers: Slight chance of an isolated, high-based storm along coastal convergence zones.

🌞 Western Interior including Charleville: Hot, dry, and stable — no storms expected.

* Summary

Storm potential: 🟡 Low overall but keep an eye around the Moree area.
Main inhibitor: Mid-level dry air and weak lift.

Best (but still low) chance: Coastal SEQ or Northern Rivers under late-day sea-breeze convergence.

So we should mostly dry conditions, with just a few clouds struggling to break through the cap.

Sunday afternoon/ evening/ overnight and into Monday looks the best potential at this stage.

So the best things is to keep an eye to the sky and radar. If storms somehow or do develop, listen for any warnings if required.

Below is the 3 soundings