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Posted by: Colmait Offline Posted: Sunday, 23 November 2025 7:17:41 PM(UTC)
For tomorrow please keep an eye and ear out for warnings and storms as there could be some severe storms build in the SEQ and NE NSW.

EC had storms in it is models for a few days but GFS pulled right back several days ago.

With GFS’ latest run it has become more favourable for the possibility of severe storms developing. It has not been a massive about turn but enough to put the possibility a bit higher.

So please stay alert. The potential for severe cells/ supercell activity with large hail, strong winds and heavy rain has increased compared to previous runs. Now the main models are in agreement for greater potential . So if you draw a line between them all you get a bit of a balanced view. I have not done a full breakdown due to having my hands full. So please stay alert for possible severe storms.




Latest STW


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The Bureau of Meteorology warns that, at 6:50 pm, a VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORM likely to produce damaging, locally destructive winds, large, possibly giant hailstones and heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding was detected near Numinbah Valley, Canungra and Mount Tamborine. This thunderstorm is moving towards the north. It is forecast to affect Beenleigh, Tamborine and Coomera by 7:20 pm and Logan Central, Cleveland and Russell Island by 7:50 pm.

The thunderstorm is moving towards the northeast.

5 CM HAIL WAS REPORTED AT SILVER SPUR AT 4:40 PM AEDT.
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