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Posted by: Ken Offline Posted: Friday, 27 September 2019 4:46:58 PM(UTC)
Interestingly for late tonight/overnight/early Sat morning, some models have been suggesting the possibility of additional activity sweeping across parts of SEQ but whether or not this occurs partly depends on what happens before then
i.e. it's a realistic possibility if there isn't too much activity later this afternoon/early evening before then to stabilise the atmosphere and passing cold air aloft helps with instability..... on the other hand, if too much activity occurs before then, it may stabilise the atmosphere too much for it to occur. Overnight activity is historically pretty hard to forecast for.

Saturday's also looks to me like one of those setups which is also historically very hard to forecast for because it partly depends the amount of any cloud cover and early activity during the daylight hours.... as well as a question mark over the amount of moisture left later in the day with a westerly flow invading much of the atmosphere (models currently still suggest some activity redeveloping later in the day though).
Once again, total rainfall amounts look pretty modest again not surprisingly.

ACCESS-C: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=...Fns&feature=youtu.be

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