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Posted by:
Ken
Posted:
Sunday, 24 November 2019 6:04:43 PM(UTC)
Originally Posted by: NotCrocDundee
Originally Posted by: Pabloako
Still along way out, but it has been very consistent on the extended range GFS for most of this week, so I thought I would share an image
Nothing to get excited about yet, but it would be bloody nice!
Sadly it is diminishing more and more with every run
Classic for this area but in saying that, not many models have really been going for significant rainfall amounts anyway within the near term.
1st graphic above - the latest 10-day multimodel accumulated precip graph for Brisbane
2nd graphic above - the latest spaghetti diagram from the EC ensemble re the 2-week total precip amounts. The contours represent areas of different rainfall amounts being exceeded by each of the ensemble's 51 forecast members, colour-coded by rainfall amount. The shaded grey areas representing the control member (the unperturbed member) in the ensemble is a bit hard to see on that map. You can see a lot of its members are going for more than 100mm in areas like the western NT Top End and western TAS, some (but not all) are nudging 100mm in some sections of far north QLD/eastern NSW/eastern VIC, while the majority are currently going for lower amounts in areas like SE QLD.
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