Welcome Guest! To enable all features please
Wednesday, 11 March 2020 11:12:13 AM(UTC)
Wonder who will win out here? local knowledge? one says yes, the other says no....
A tropical low was located near 12.1S 115.7E at 8am WST Tuesday, about 380km south of Bali and 970km north of Karratha. This system is forecast to move south towards the northwest of Western Australia throughout the week and lie near the west Pilbara coast by Friday morning.
There is only a low chance of this system developing into a tropical cyclone, as conditions are broadly unfavourable for significant development.
However, squally conditions and heavy rainfall are possible over the western Pilbara from later on Thursday as the system approaches.
Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 11.0S 113.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.9S 116.8E, APPROXIMATELY
523 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 101352Z METOP-B 89GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGE DEPICT A SMALL POCKET OF DEEP CONVECTION CENTERED OVER A
CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 101239Z METOP-A
ASCAT IMAGE DEPICTS 30 KNOT WINDS IN THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY WITH
STRONGER WINDS TO THE SOUTH WITHIN THE DEEP CONVECTION.
94S IS IN A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT
WITH LOW (<15KT) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR, MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS GENERALLY AGREE THAT 94S WILL SLOWLY
STRENGTHEN AS IT TRACKS SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS HIGH.
Please enter the reason you're reporting this post:
[YOUTUBE]Put YouTube URL in here[/YOUTUBE]
[HIDE-THANKS=x]The tag hides content from people who have below then X thanks received.[/HIDE-THANKS]
[HIDE-REPLY-THANKS]The tag hides content from people until they either reply in the same thread or press the thank you button for the post.[/HIDE-REPLY-THANKS]
[HIDE-REPLY]The tag hides content from people until they replied in the same thread.[/HIDE-REPLY]
[GROUP-HIDE]Hide the Content from Guests, or other Roles if defined.[/GROUP-HIDE]
[dailymotion]Enter Dailymotion Url (http://www.dailymotion.com/video/xxxx)[/dailymotion]
[HIDE-POSTS=x]The tag hides content from people who have below then X posts.[/HIDE-POSTS]
[GOOGLEMAPS]Enter Google Maps Url[/GOOGLEMAPS]
[ALBUMIMG]Enter a Album Image Number[/ALBUMIMG]
[ATTACH]Enter a Attachment ID[/ATTACH]
[INSTAGRAM][localization=INSTAGRAM_DESCRIPTION]Put the Instagram URL Here[/INSTAGRAM]
[FACEBOOK]Enter the Url of the post or the Embed Code of the Post you want to embed[/FACEBOOK]
[SPOILER]Put Spoiler Text in here[/SPOILER]
[HIDE]This tag hides content from people until they press the thank you button for the post.[/HIDE]
[USERLINK]Put User Name Here[/USERLINK]
Powered by YAF.NET
YAF.NET © 2003-2021, Yet Another Forum.NET
This page was generated in 0.025 seconds.
Weatherzone Forum Alternative
The Weather Forum for Australia
Australian Weather Forum
Weather Forum for Australia, climate change, storm chasing, cyclones, weather photography