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Tuesday, 19 January 2021 12:58:01 PM(UTC)
The monsoon trough looks active all this week at least
Cross equatorial strong of the NW of Darwin.
The chance for cyclogenesis is high as this is coupled with strong inflow into the southern flank of the trough courtesy of some strong mid latitude highs currently.
Here is a snap of wind fields showing this tropical low off NW Darwin already has good symmetry. ACCESS g suggests this will continue in the next week with rapid intensification. A small but deep TC. ACCESS has this TC maintains significant strength even after landfall.
Later in the week say Friday/Saturday. The monsoon trough establishes in the coral sea off the far north coast. There are 2 cross equatorial infeeds into the peninsula and coral region and strong high pressure underneath to give her a spin of possible multiple tropical lows.
Firstly hear are the current promising wind fields just off the coast of Nw Darwin today. Nicely intact with good symmetry!
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