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Posted by: crikey Offline Posted: Friday, 22 January 2021 2:18:01 PM(UTC)

Further to the tropical low in the gulf this Wednesday or earlier.
I have had a look at the all important surface synoptic windstreams crucial for good strong cyclogenesis.
This snap l have taken below shows fabulous cross equatorial flow right across our region and beyond. You can see some Nw input into this low in the gulf.
Now underneath need some good strong SE input from a well formed high to consolidate the spin or cyclogenesis.
That is not there on this particular shot but doesn’t mean it won’t happen. There could be multiple lows from this fabulous cross equatorial currently. Certainly interesting couple of weeks ahead one would think before this favourable pattern changes.
ACCESS is showing cyclogenesis here on Wednesday. You can see the heightened strength in the wind fields.
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