Originally Posted by: Hickory  Originally Posted by: Gone tropo The bureau has really butchered this year so far in terms of rainfall, if we didnt get that big wet in april the wet season would have been a fizzer and they didnt predict that until last minute. They also have said continually for last 3 months that winter was going to be drier than average yet the opposite has happened just about every station is at above average rainfall across the board some well above average. The only thing they have managed to get right is that temperatures would be above average all winter and that has been true. I'm not sure that's correct. - The 78 year average (Jan-Aug 1943-2021 Average-Total) is 1656.1 mm over 114.8 days.
Jan-Aug 2021 Total so far is 2246.4 mm over 116 days, - and August isn't yet over. For this years winter months of June,-July & August,- June had 40.6 mm,-(Avg is 46.8 mm)- - July had 54.4 mm -(Avg is 30.8 mm),- and August, so far is 16.9 mm -(Avg is 25.9 mm). Sure, it may pour down in the next 2 weeks. But June was drier,- so far August is too.
Year to Date for 2021 is 2066.8 mm,- = 78 year Jan to Aug average is 1461.4 mm. Where are you talking about ? Cairns aero? I think you are agreeing with what i was saying? Winter on average (not just cairns aero but especially across cassowary coast stations and douglas shire stations are all above average and well above average especially around innisfail. Most stations are ahead of their yearly average some way ahead (ie tully is already over 4200mm to end of july already over yearly average) The bureau at least for the douglas shire has forecast a 10-25mm 75% chance for each month for last 3 months yet my own reading as well as whyanbeel are in the 90mm range each month. March was a complete failure across the board with feburary not much better, january and april did the heavy lifting for the wet season. By the end of the year the majority of stations will be well well above average i would expect tully and cape tribulation to go into the 5000mm+ range
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