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Posted by: Colmait Offline Posted: Tuesday, 19 October 2021 7:26:02 AM(UTC)
The outlook for today is quite borderline and if anything fires up at this stage it would be very coastal.
The area between Bowen and Hervey Bay has a greater chance of storm activity and maybe even severe in some places.

The 3 images highlights the scenario playing out, and as you can see NSW should have more activity than the SEQ. Most of the storm activity is staying East of the ranges.

B21F5249-EB48-41E9-9F53-5326E35AFF9F.jpeg

C6B3A207-57E1-4E7E-8525-CE070AA73857.jpeg

BCFDE908-ACB6-435A-B6ED-E5668C4E2830.png

This is the forecast sounding from the modelling for possible storms and it is not looking too good especially with regards to the lack of instability. For some decent activity we would need the sounding to look more like the blue line I have added for the instability. There are other factors involved too. But we just need to wait and see what the 11:00 sounding looks like to gain a better picture.

317D3879-709C-4663-861F-9EBCCD5A87AE.jpeg
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