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Posted by: Colmait Offline Posted: Saturday, 30 December 2023 9:06:49 AM(UTC)
We are in for another hot day. The overnight apparent or feel like temperature never dropped below 28°C here at Lawnton.

Just running through the possibilities for tomorrow and it is not a clear cut storm day as we have seen but there is still the high chance of severe storms.

There is a couple of possibilities.

1 is that early morning showers arrive and we have thundery rain with the possibility of a severe embedded storm.

2. Or it is just thundery rain.

3 storms arrive mid morning early afternoon.

4 showers in the morning, clearing away, allowing the heating to build and storms arrive.

All the ingredients are there for potentially big storms with heavy rain, large hail and strong winds.
With the storms I would prefer to see the later models and if there is a slight change plus the sounding.
Below is the GFS instability charts with the cape and LI’s

IMG_3289.jpeg

IMG_3292.jpeg

IMG_3291.jpeg

IMG_3293.png
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