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Posted by: Colmait Offline Posted: Tuesday, 2 January 2024 6:34:48 AM(UTC)
The trough that is causing this weather event will slowly move toward the East and maybe should clear later tonight 2 January 2023.
To be honest, this was not picked up by the modelling systems. There was what looked like a glitch sitting approximately 150 kilometres offshore near Brisbane. But not a lot more information was to be had. When I clicked on the small blob or low it showed maybe 6-12 inches of rain on EC windy and it was erratic with each run. I had not changed to metric on Windy as I had not used it for a while and it reset itself to imperial.
So this honestly has taken many by surprise by the huge totals that have fallen.

The technical section of BoMs warning.

Weather Situation: A humid easterly airflow is feeding into a coastal trough near the southeast Queensland coast. This is combining with a strong upper-level trough to produce heavy shower and thunderstorm activity.

HEAVY RAINFALL which may lead to FLASH FLOODING is occurring over parts of the South East Coast and far southeastern Wide Bay and Burnett area today. Three to six-hourly rainfall totals between 100 and 200 mm are likely, with isolated 24-hourly totals exceeding 350 mm possible. Localised INTENSE RAINFALL leading to DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING is possible during this period, with six-hourly rainfall totals between 150 and 250 mm possible.

There remains some uncertainty in the movement and timing of features, but the heavy rainfall risk may ease by late tonight or early tomorrow morning.

A separate Severe Thunderstorm Warning will be issued if very dangerous thunderstorms with intense rainfall are detected.

Heavy rainfall increases the potential for landslides and debris across roads.

A Flood Watch and various Flood Warnings are current for areas in southeast Queensland. Please refer to http://www.bom.gov.au/qld/warnings/

Locations which may be affected include Gold Coast, Brisbane, Maroochydore, Caboolture, Coolangatta, Ipswich, Moreton Island, Noosa Heads, Cleveland, Jimboomba, Mount Tamborine, Woodford, and Redcliffe.

Significant rainfall since 9:00 am:

266 mm at Cedar Creek (SW of Ormeau)

242mm at Wongawallan

236 mm at North Tamborine

217 mm at Mount Tamborine

157 mm at Beenleigh

Please stay safe and listen for any updates.
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