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Posted by: Colmait Offline Posted: Monday, 22 January 2024 8:21:46 AM(UTC)
A Hot and Humid day install for much of Queensland. The Dew points are making the atmosphere feel so oppressive. With temperatures in the mid to high 30’s predicted, the high dew points will make the feel like temperature closer to 40°C plus. There is a very small/slim chance of a tiny band of storms just around the Coastal areas on the border up to Brisbane. But the forecast sounding has a massive dry slot in the lower levels then increase to drier air above. So we could see some towers go up, maybe a dry cell or virga with a rumble or two, but it is a slim chance.

As for the Low 05U not a lot has changed at this stage. It is very slow moving but should start to move a little to the West. The models are sort of coming into a alignment in small variations but it is still a long way out in the life of a Tropical Low/Cyclone.

The latest Meteye has the Tropical storm moving inland still and moving a little further south with a recurve towards the coast. But once again we are a long way out. The best way to describe this scenario comes down to Lorenzo’s chaos theory that he discovered while running a weather model in the 1950’s. It became better known as the butterfly effect. The small changes added together can make a bigger change to a storm system such as 05U.

So at this stage stay cool and here is the latest Meteye run from BoM.

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