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Offline DexterB  
#1 Posted : Thursday, 16 January 2020 7:18:33 AM(UTC)
DexterB

Rank: Newbie

Groups: Registered
Joined: 29/12/2019(UTC)
Posts: 2
Australia
Location: Kewarra Beach

Been watching this for a week now. It started as a large weak eddy, but is tightening up.

BOM doesn't consider it an issue yet, but let's keep watching.

Vanuatu TL.png
Offline Orebound  
#2 Posted : Thursday, 16 January 2020 8:12:24 AM(UTC)
Orebound

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 25/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 40
Australia
Location: Darwin

Thanks: 44 times
Was thanked: 137 time(s) in 37 post(s)
Not in Australian area of responsibility, managed by Fiji Met.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A6 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI
Jan 152000 UTC.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TD04F CENTRE 998HPA WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9S 173.0E
AT 151800 UTC. POSITION POOR BASED ON HIMAWARI-8 IR AND PERIPHERAL
SURFACE REPORTS. CYCLONE MOVING EAST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM
10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT ABOUT 25 KNOTS.

DEEP CONVECTION PERSISTENT TO THE NORTH OF LLCC AND ORGANISATION HAS
IMPROVED WITH THE BAND TO THE NORTH TRYING TO WRAP ONTO LLCC. SYSTEM
LIES UNDER MODERATE TO STRONG UPPER DIVERGENCE IN A LOW SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW. SYSTEM STEERED TOWARDS
THE EAST BY THE LOW TO MID LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF
THE SYSTEM. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDS UPTO 500HPA. SST IS AROUND
30 DEGREES CELSIUS.
DVORAK ANALYSIS BASED ON CURVED BAND OF ABOUT 0.30 WRAP ON LOG 10
SPIRAL, YIELDING A DT OF 2.0. MET AND PT AGREE. FT BASED ON DT THUS
YIELDING T2.0/2.0/D0.5/24HRS.

65660.gif

Australian Areas of Responsibility.

aus_tcw_areas_responsibility-03efc7e827ab1c75aee2eeb8b8caed4bca747dc74f13016ab0f0a4be0d306cd7.png

Edited by user Thursday, 16 January 2020 8:15:37 AM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Offline DexterB  
#3 Posted : Thursday, 16 January 2020 8:50:17 AM(UTC)
DexterB

Rank: Newbie

Groups: Registered
Joined: 29/12/2019(UTC)
Posts: 2
Australia
Location: Kewarra Beach

Thanks.
If it's heading away from us, as predicted, we won't see any effect from it.

I'm heading south tomorrow for a week and would be most unimpressed if it got a bit blowy while I was away.

Cheers
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