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Offline ronfishes  
#61 Posted : Wednesday, 6 December 2023 5:31:57 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Gone tropo Go to Quoted Post
Originally Posted by: Sheridan Mist Go to Quoted Post
The position of the cyclone at the moment looks like a lose-lose situation for the NTC&T. If it comes our way it could be a severe one which we don't want. If it tracks the way the GFS model is predicting, South, we may continue in our desert conditions.

YTD: 2193.5mm


These were my thoughts exactly, certainly dont want it here but if it goes south we are in for some even worse hot weather if thats possible with still no rain and crunchy grass for early-mid decemeber


Current forecast for Cairns on Monday is 37c!
Dodgy records for 2022: 1520mm
Nov: 6.6mm
Dec: 0.4 mm
YTD: 1647.3mm
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28degrees on 6/12/2023(UTC)
Offline Sheridan Mist  
#62 Posted : Thursday, 7 December 2023 9:32:25 AM(UTC)
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0.5mm here for the first week of the month. Temp range of 26-38°C so a hot dry start to summer. Bit of a shock this morning, it's cool and trying to rain.

YTD: 2193.5mm
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28degrees on 7/12/2023(UTC)
Online scott123  
#63 Posted : Thursday, 7 December 2023 10:50:13 AM(UTC)
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Light showers on the back of a SE breeze down here as well this morning...bit cooler here too thankfully..

JTWC and Bom have FNQ in the cyclones sights though all (except Higgins who made mention of the possibility of Cat5 to get his name on the news)) show unfavourable atmospheric conditions leading to weakening winds as it approaches the coast...50-60 knots isnt much more then a breezy winters day in Cooktown..

Guess we will wait and see if that holds true later in the week....as with the temps..we all know its never much fun to be north of a decent blow in the days after...

Do you have a link to the GFS model, SM...?

Edit ...latest BOM track has it turning sharply and heading even further north...hope it doesnt do a loopty-loop and hang around preparing for an assault on the coast..

Edited by user Thursday, 7 December 2023 11:49:37 AM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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28degrees on 7/12/2023(UTC)
Offline Sheridan Mist  
#64 Posted : Thursday, 7 December 2023 12:19:24 PM(UTC)
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I use the 'Tropical Tidbits' site Scott. At the last pass it's showing it crossing between your area and about Ingham.

YTD: 2193.5mm
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28degrees on 7/12/2023(UTC), scott123 on 7/12/2023(UTC)
Offline 28degrees  
#65 Posted : Thursday, 7 December 2023 6:40:37 PM(UTC)
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Now Jasper is curving further north.
JTWC Warning #10 has it tracking just north of Willis Island, looking at Cooktown.
https://www.metoc.navy.m...jtwc/products/sh0324.gif

Originally Posted by: scott123 Go to Quoted Post
Do you have a link to the GFS model, SM...?

This the one Scott?
https://www.pivotalweath...p;r=au&dpdt=&mc=

Edited by user Thursday, 7 December 2023 6:45:57 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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Sheridan Mist on 7/12/2023(UTC)
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