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Offline retired weather man  
#141 Posted : Wednesday, 4 September 2019 7:39:44 AM(UTC)
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WYNNUM NORTH ( 27.4S 153.2E ) - WEATHER

DATE....4 SEP 2019...TIME...0725

CURRENT TEMPERATURE...13.4C
CURRENT HUMIDITY........83%
CURRENT DEW POINT.......11C
CURRENT WIND DIR/SPEED..W 12Kph
CURRENT MSL PRESSURE...1017.3Hpa
CURRENT VISIBILITY......15Km
CURRENT CLOUD..........Nil
CURRENT WEATHER......Smoke haze
RAIN SINCE 0900 TUESDAY..0.2mm(dew)

SUMMARY LAST 24 HOURS .......23.6C
THIS MORNING'S MIN TEMP.......9.1C
PAST 24 HOURS TEMP ANOMALY..-2.25C
THIS MORNING'S GRASS MIN......7.9C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR DEW POINT......12C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR MSLP........1017.6Hpa
MAX WIND GUST LAST 24 HOURS..E 34Kph at 1504
PAST 24 HR SIGNIFICANT WEATHER..Smoke haze with early morning mist.
Wyn Nth 2020-Jan165,
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Offline Falling_Droplet  
#142 Posted : Wednesday, 4 September 2019 8:15:03 AM(UTC)
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Ferny Grove Weather
Date: 4 Sep 2019
Time: 7:50 AM

Min Temp since 9am yesterday: 8.3 C
Max Temp since 9am yesterday: 28.4 C
Min Ground Temp: 5.9 C
Rain since 9am yesterday: Trace (Dew)

Temperature: 13.7 C
Relative Humidity: 83 %
Dew Point: 10.8 C
MSL Pressure: 1016.7 hPa
Wind Speed: 1 kph - light air
Wind Direction: ENE

Present Weather: No cloud development observed
Visibility: 40km or more - Excellent Visibility
Cloud Cover: 0/8
Ground State: Ground moist

Notes of yesterday weather - 3/9/18: Fine and sunny. A cool morning. In the early hours dew point was low and rose before falling slowly. In the early morning the dew point rose again, before falling and became very low in the early afternoon. Soon after the dew point rose to moderately low, then fell slowly and rose to near average in the late afternoon before falling slowly in the evening. Low daytime relative humidity. Light and variable winds at times from early, WSW to SSW in early morning, then mostly SSE to NE light winds, ESE to NE in late afternoon and light and variable winds at times in the evening.
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Offline Ken  
#143 Posted : Wednesday, 4 September 2019 8:34:19 AM(UTC)
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Max FFDI/GFDI for today (Wed)

National bushfire potential til end of 2019


1st image above - Forest and grass fire danger index values for today (Wed) via the Bureau.

2nd image above - National bushfire potential up til the end of this year (the August bit just refers to when it was issued). In some of the drought-affected areas, this potential is actually lower because of suppressed vegetation growth due to lack of rain.

Edited by user Wednesday, 4 September 2019 8:47:17 AM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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Offline Colmait  
#144 Posted : Wednesday, 4 September 2019 9:51:15 AM(UTC)
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If you can watch this without it affecting you........... I don’t know what to say. This is heartbreaking, this was on the news last night and I was just numb. All the attention is on Stanthorpe but this story would duplicate itself in so many communities throughout QLD and Northern NSW.

Meanwhile in the City most are oblivious to it. We should be on restrictions too. As Ken said yesterday, he was driving behind a bus with a sign to conserve water. ( On that subject, I was driving behind a bus just before and noticed a SEQ Water “ad” on the back of it emphasising the unreliability of rain and the need to conserve water. First time I’ve seen such an ad on a bus.)

Meanwhile we spend billions of dollars on really unnecessary new structures that could wait, and money spent to send water and food out to our country neighbours.

I believe we need to do our bit by reducing our water consumption because they are going to need to cart water by the truck load VERY soon. They don’t have till Christmas. I think there is a genuine link on MMM web site to support farmers and locals. I think $ 20.00 buys a bale of hay, etc. But if you are struggling yourself, help by saving water.

Please watch

Colin Maitland.
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Offline CantSpellNarangba  
#145 Posted : Wednesday, 4 September 2019 11:12:27 AM(UTC)
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The Kurwongbah is still burning today and quite a bit of smoke around.
Fingers crossed it stays contained.
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Offline CantSpellNarangba  
#146 Posted : Wednesday, 4 September 2019 11:17:25 AM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Colmait Go to Quoted Post
If you can watch this without it affecting you........... I don’t know what to say. This is heartbreaking, this was on the news last night and I was just numb. All the attention is on Stanthorpe but this story would duplicate itself in so many communities throughout QLD and Northern NSW.

I



It is strange. Governments only seem to worry about "the now" and not the future. After the Brisbane Dams hit ~20% and they were in panic mode, the rains finally came and the dams filled up again and they forgot about it. De-ja-vu time again.

I really feel for the communities to the west of here. Reliance on river systems and bores and watching them dry up must be very stressful.
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Offline crikey  
#147 Posted : Wednesday, 4 September 2019 11:43:32 AM(UTC)
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Hi Ken .,Great to see your posts.Love
Love the graphics.


The fire risk isn't surprising of course. There was smoke haze over the tweed central today. Where would that be coming from.
We often get smoke from the tweed top region but that is not from the tip
Are these fires from DPI burn offs? Do they do fire reduction burns in volatile conditions?
There has been quite a few of their burns that have taken off out of control in the past interstate

ACC g shows nothing but blues skies all this week for just about all of Australia except perhaps VIC and TAS

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Offline Pabloako  
#148 Posted : Wednesday, 4 September 2019 1:41:21 PM(UTC)
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There has been a southerly wind change here in the last 20 minutes and dropped the temperature back a couple of degrees.
We did manage to reach 30°C though, which is not a common occurrence being this high up.
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Offline retired weather man  
#149 Posted : Wednesday, 4 September 2019 4:53:27 PM(UTC)
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Wynnum North max today 32.2C.
Wyn Nth 2020-Jan165,
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Offline Ken  
#150 Posted : Wednesday, 4 September 2019 5:37:18 PM(UTC)
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Fire danger ratings for this Friday


Thanks crikey :) Not surprisingly, fire dangers are currently forecast to reach Extreme by Friday over parts of the southern inland due to the hot dry gusty NW winds ahead of the approaching cold front before shifting WSW behind it as well as the dry fuels. Very gusty WSW winds still look likely on Saturday in the southeast especially over higher terrain.

Duststorms could also be kicked up over northeast SA by the front and strong winds in its wake later on Thursday or Friday before spreading into southwest QLD on Friday - while some of this dust could then progressively spread further across the state later on Friday into Saturday, it's unlikely to be as thick as inland areas by the time it gets closer to the coast.

A welcome reprieve from the weekend into next week as temps come back down closer to normal September values in the wake of the front.
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Offline Paul Atkins  
#151 Posted : Wednesday, 4 September 2019 7:00:46 PM(UTC)
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Quite elevated fire rating over large swathes of the state.

EDmb6XGXYAAMSCx.png
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Offline Falling_Droplet  
#152 Posted : Wednesday, 4 September 2019 8:33:11 PM(UTC)
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The temperature rose 20 C in 3 hrs becoming 28 C by 9am. The temperature rose much much slower reaching a high of 34.1 C just before 2pm and only very slowly fell before falling properly from 4 pm. Now it's a pleasant 18 C (the same temperature as it was at 8am).

Relative humidity and dew point absolutely crashed pushing the accuracy of my sensor being at the low end of its range. Relative humidity hovered between 2 and 4 % (1% for 1 minute). Dew point rose just as fast as it rose in the dry W to SW winds. Just crazy weather we have and we don't need these extremes. I don't see how this will let up but this is not a good way to start spring after skipping what was suppose to be winter.

Last 24 hours:
hum 2019-09-04.PNGtemp 2019-09-04.PNG
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Offline retired weather man  
#153 Posted : Thursday, 5 September 2019 7:24:34 AM(UTC)
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WYNNUM NORTH ( 27.4S 153.2E ) - WEATHER

DATE....5 SEP 2019...TIME...0715

CURRENT TEMPERATURE...15.7C
CURRENT HUMIDITY........59%
CURRENT DEW POINT........8C
CURRENT WIND DIR/SPEED..WSW 5Kph
CURRENT MSL PRESSURE...1017.0Hpa
CURRENT VISIBILITY......20Km
CURRENT CLOUD..........Nil
CURRENT WEATHER......Smoke haze
RAIN SINCE 0900 WEDNESDAY..0.0mm

SUMMARY LAST 24 HOURS
YESTERDAY'S MAX TEMP. .......32.2C
THIS MORNING'S MIN TEMP......10.5C
PAST 24 HOURS TEMP ANOMALY..+2.75C
THIS MORNING'S GRASS MIN......7.2C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR DEW POINT.......9C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR MSLP........1014.5Hpa
MAX WIND GUST LAST 24 HOURS..E 31Kph at 1535
PAST 24 HR SIGNIFICANT WEATHER..Smoke haze.
Wyn Nth 2020-Jan165,
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Offline Falling_Droplet  
#154 Posted : Thursday, 5 September 2019 8:12:18 AM(UTC)
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Ferny Grove Weather
Date: 5 Sep 2019
Time: 7:50 AM

Min Temp since 9am yesterday: 9.3 C
Max Temp since 9am yesterday: 34.1 C
Min Ground Temp: 6.2 C
Rain since 9am yesterday: 0 mm

Temperature: 15.8 C
Relative Humidity: 52 %
Dew Point: 5.9 C
MSL Pressure: 1016.6 hPa
Wind Speed: Calm
Wind Direction: Calm

Present Weather: No cloud development observed
Visibility: 20km to 39km - Very Good Visibility
Cloud Cover: 0/8
Ground State: Ground moist

Notes of yesterday weather - 4/9/19: Fine and sunny. Smoke haze. A hot day. The temperature rose 20 C to 28 C at 9am and rose at a slower rate before falling slowly during the afternoon. The temperature fell quicker from 4pm. The dew point was moderately low and fell slowly early, before rising to near average during the early morning before rapidly falling to a very low level from the mid morning. The dew point continued to fall fluctuating at extremely low levels in the afternoon with a low of -30 C. The dew point rose fast at 4pm before rising slower but remained low and was stable in the evening. Relative humidity fell from 8 am to extremely low levels, where is slowly fell with a low of 2 to 3 % (1% for 1 minute) before rising from 4pm. Light and variable winds in the early morning before WNW to SW winds, before shifting SE to NE from 4 pm and becoming calm in the evening.
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Offline Skeetpete  
#155 Posted : Thursday, 5 September 2019 9:08:34 AM(UTC)
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Already 25.4C here,hotter than Brisbane.Very rarely does that happen.Tommorow will be potentionaly very nasty with strong and gusty winds and temps in the low 30s,no humidity and very low dew points.All the ingredients for a bad fire day so stay safe everybody.
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Offline Pabloako  
#156 Posted : Thursday, 5 September 2019 9:49:57 AM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Skeetpete Go to Quoted Post
Already 25.4C here,hotter than Brisbane.Very rarely does that happen.Tommorow will be potentionaly very nasty with strong and gusty winds and temps in the low 30s,no humidity and very low dew points.All the ingredients for a bad fire day so stay safe everybody.


Similar here. We had a very warm night with a minimum of 18.6, but only 30% humidity. Now it is over 26°C and humidity is dropping.
(Days like this I wish I didn't live at the top of a steep hill surrounded by gum trees. Anxious )

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Offline CantSpellNarangba  
#157 Posted : Thursday, 5 September 2019 11:59:11 AM(UTC)
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There will be extreme to locally catastrophic fire danger conditions in the Darling Downs, Granite Belt, Maranoa and Warrego tomorrow, the Queensland Rural Fire Service (QRFS) has said, while residents near Sarabah in the Gold Coast hinterland are being told to prepare to leave.
It would only be the second time a catastrophic fire danger rating had been declared — the first was in November last year when fierce bushfires ravaged central Queensland.
Acting regional manager Clinton Newman has urged people to prepare now and heed any warnings from emergency services.
"We'll see fire bans from midnight Thursday night or Friday morning, through to midnight Friday night or Saturday morning … so pretty much all of Friday.

"So … make preparations today."

The areas facing a significant fire threat include Toowoomba, Southern Downs, Western Downs, Goondiwindi, Maranoa and the Balonne Shire council areas.


https://www.abc.net.au/n...te-belt-maranoa/11480334




Hmmm... That isn't good.
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Offline Colmait  
#158 Posted : Thursday, 5 September 2019 12:33:19 PM(UTC)
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https://www.abc.net.au/n...nsland-brisbane/11479210

Water restrictions on the radar for south-east Queensland as dam levels drop
By Talissa Siganto
Posted about 5 hours ago

PHOTO: Water was released from a full Wivenhoe Dam in 2015. (ABC News: Gordon Fuad)
RELATED STORY: Spring is going to be hotter and drier, according to BOM's latest outlook
RELATED STORY: 'Virtually a lunar landscape': No rain for 70 days in parts of Qld during record-breaking dry spell
RELATED STORY: What you need to know about droughts
RELATED STORY: Wivenhoe Dam $900m facelift considered to prevent flood disaster
Almost a decade has passed since south-east Queensland experienced extreme drought conditions, but the region's water authority has warned falling dam levels could see water restrictions return as early as next year.

Key points:
Wivenhoe Dam is down to just 53 per cent, the lowest level since the Millennium Drought
The average south-east Queenslander is currently using about 186 litres of water per day
The BOM says dry spring forecast, same as last year


The region's combined water grid capacity is currently sitting at just over 65 per cent, with Wivenhoe Dam, north-west of Brisbane, down to just 53 per cent.

Seqwater spokeswoman Sophie Walker said this was the lowest it had dropped since the Millennium Drought, where from late 1996 to mid-2010 much of southern Australia experienced dry conditions.

"We saw a hot, dry summer, we saw consumption of water almost increased to around 30 to 40 litres across the region," Ms Walker said.

PHOTO: The view across Wivenhoe Dam during drought in 2007 and after the drought broke in 2009. (ABC News: Giulio Saggin)


The average south-east Queenslander is currently using about 186 litres of water per day but that number is expected to climb coming into the warmer months.

Ms Walker said there was still "a way to go" but if dam levels continued to plunge, water restrictions would need to be considered.



"We're really looking at this wet season to understand whether we'll see rainfall back to what we usually see during the summer months."

Another dry summer ahead
The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) has predicted the region would get lower-than-average falls during spring.

PHOTO: Water pours from a floodgate at Wivenhoe Dam, days after the 2011 flood. (ABC News: Kerrin Binnie)


BOM climatologist Jonathan Pollock said the south-east was also expected to experience the same dry conditions seen this time last year.



He said there was only a slim chance the dry conditions would not eventuate.

"There's roughly a one-in-four chance that you'll have a wetter than normal season," he said.

Ms Walker said now was a good time for residents to start thinking about their water usage.

"I think there's an understanding of the importance of being water-wise, particularly during dry times and during drought … but before we get to there, we want people to be as water efficient as they can be," Ms Walker said.
Colin Maitland.
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Offline Pabloako  
#159 Posted : Thursday, 5 September 2019 4:29:04 PM(UTC)
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Although there is talk of Catastrophic in some news text, this is the latest BOM forecast from 4pm today.

Capture.PNG

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Offline Ken  
#160 Posted : Thursday, 5 September 2019 4:48:11 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Pabloako Go to Quoted Post
Although there is talk of Catastrophic in some news text, this is the latest BOM forecast from 4pm today.




Nah not just the news actually - it's also in the Bureau's latest fire weather warning as per below. Just that any catastrophic levels are likely to be confined to isolated pockets within the broader extreme and severe FDR's.


FWW
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