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Offline oceangyre  
#21 Posted : Saturday, 28 September 2019 8:35:32 AM(UTC)
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WOW.Exciting. Bileola only 120km west of Gladstone has come on board for a possible late storm todayBigGrin

and also Taroom

Wide Bay and Burnett districts got a fullhouse .Storm forecast for allCool

Edited by user Saturday, 28 September 2019 8:37:02 AM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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crikey on 28/09/2019(UTC)
Offline i4hanish  
#22 Posted : Saturday, 28 September 2019 5:23:53 PM(UTC)
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There is a couple of small thunder cells heading for the coast toward Hervey bay Bundaberg possibly this evening?
Currently a cell passing through Injune

I thought l would post this CAPE map showing a small amount of CAPE on the mid coast tomorrow afternoon.Just to see what happens?

sept 29th 19 cape mid  coast qld.jpg

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crikey on 28/09/2019(UTC), oceangyre on 29/09/2019(UTC)
Offline crikey  
#23 Posted : Saturday, 28 September 2019 7:45:55 PM(UTC)
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ACC r has no precipitation for this region tomorrow but will look with interest re the CAPE on the coast.


..............

Of interest to me and no doubt people in this region is ACC g forecast for the Tuesday 1st Oct 2019.

This is a day event with a tropical dip in isobars. Sub Tropical troughing .

It not only could deliver some stormage to the coast but also the precip' signal extends inland as well.Rain signal moderate

but a storm might give something tolocalized spots. Lets see how this unfolds.


1 oct 19  rain mid east qld.jpg




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oceangyre on 29/09/2019(UTC)
Offline oceangyre  
#24 Posted : Sunday, 29 September 2019 9:15:30 AM(UTC)
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WOW what a good looking forecast from Access.

Hope even some of that eventuates.

Chance of showers today from the CAPE that has been forecast

Tuesday forecast some signs of something emerging

Tuesday 1 October

Summary
Min 18
Max 27
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 50%

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming east to southeasterly 25 to 35 km/h during the morning.

Edited by user Sunday, 29 September 2019 9:16:01 AM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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crikey on 29/09/2019(UTC)
Offline oceangyre  
#25 Posted : Sunday, 29 September 2019 5:45:12 PM(UTC)
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and YES We have an upgrade in the forecast for tuesdayBigGrin

Tuesday 1 October

Summary
Min 19
Max 26
A few showers. Possible storm.
Possible rainfall: 6 to 15 mm
Chance of any rain: 95%


Cloudy. Very high (95%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming easterly 20 to 25 km/h in the morning


Firstly. Did you know that 4 states of Australia have a town called Gladstone . I learnt that just now from Climate data online.Wink

According to this months records ,Gladstone has only had 2.2 mm of rain.The mean is 26.5mm.
So well behind.
When l looked at this years rain records l was shocked at how far below average Gladstone has been.Scared

I will take a screen dump of that tomorrow and post tomorrow.




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crikey on 29/09/2019(UTC)
Offline crikey  
#26 Posted : Sunday, 29 September 2019 7:06:13 PM(UTC)
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I am just trying to get a handle on what towns that sit under the stronger precip' signal from the ACC r forecast on Tuesday the 1st october

This is the best l could do and it is a ROUGH estimate.


The black line encloses the general area of instability in the SE quadrant of QLD.

The purple lines mark in the corridor of strongest instability or stronger precip' signal.



1stoct19 rain marled on map qld.jpg
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oceangyre on 29/09/2019(UTC)
Offline oceangyre  
#27 Posted : Sunday, 29 September 2019 7:50:33 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: crikey Go to Quoted Post
I am just trying to get a handle on what towns that sit under the stronger precip' signal from the ACC r forecast on Tuesday the 1st october

This is the best l could do and it is a ROUGH estimate.


The black line encloses the general area of instability in the SE quadrant of QLD.

The purple lines mark in the corridor of strongest instability or stronger precip' signal.



1stoct19 rain marled on map qld.jpg



Some rainfall forecasts that fall in that corridor marked with the purple lines

Just fabulous for those who need it the most. Its not a drought breaker by any means.

Tuesday 1st October 2019 Rain forecast BOM forecast by towns

Bundaberg 95% chance 6-15mm. Thunderstorm
Gympie 70%chance of 2-8mm
Hervey Bay 90% chance 5-15mm
Maryborough 90% chance 4-10 mm
Rockhamton 80%chance of 3-10mm
Emerald 80% chance 4-15mm
Taroom 80%chance of 3-10mm
Roma 50%chance 1mm storm

Its possible those totals could be bigger with storms?




Offline oceangyre  
#28 Posted : Tuesday, 1 October 2019 8:50:42 AM(UTC)
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Storms hanging around. The prospect of rain is exciting. Last month was bad.

https://www.weatherzone.com.au/radar/qld


1st oct19 storms coazt mid qld.jpg

Offline oceangyre  
#29 Posted : Tuesday, 1 October 2019 3:19:17 PM(UTC)
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Things are panning out as forecast
Afternoon storms

https://www.lightningmap...ceania/index.php?lang=en

1st oct 19 storms qld.jpg
Offline oceangyre  
#30 Posted : Tuesday, 1 October 2019 4:34:10 PM(UTC)
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Gladstone is up to 6mm today. A nice street cleaner. Radar looks good for some more .

Yeppoon up to 12.4mm 4.20pm

Theodore storm cell looks a bit feisty. Heading nth towards MOURA. However most of the rain cells heading east toward off shore.

1st oct19 storms on gladztone radar.jpg
Offline crikey  
#31 Posted : Tuesday, 1 October 2019 5:00:48 PM(UTC)
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The rain / storm activity contracts northward overnight as high pressure expands northward.

ACC r weak rain signal is mainly coastal and the ranges tomorrow between Hervey bay (25s) and Mackay.

Could be storms .

source
http://www.bom.gov.au/au...harts/viewer/index.shtml
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oceangyre on 11/10/2019(UTC)
Offline oceangyre  
#32 Posted : Tuesday, 1 October 2019 7:02:19 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: crikey Go to Quoted Post
The rain / storm activity contracts northward overnight as high pressure expands northward.

ACC r weak rain signal is mainly coastal and the ranges tomorrow between Hervey bay (25s) and Mackay.

Could be storms .

source
http://www.bom.gov.au/au...harts/viewer/index.shtml



The 7news central Queensland has a warning for bad weather .

This twitter link has a BOM rep' explaining the situation.

https://twitter.com/7New...atus/1178952429808652289



Trough to hang around for 4days

Could be severe storms

Some places could get 40mm

Watch the twitter video. Well presented
Offline oceangyre  
#33 Posted : Wednesday, 2 October 2019 8:25:16 AM(UTC)
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Sky news has onshore showers up the coast line today

and as far inland as Emerald.?

This mornings radar showing some light onshore activity around Townsville and Innisfall this morning

2nd oct19 onshore showers Townsville.jpg
Offline oceangyre  
#34 Posted : Wednesday, 2 October 2019 2:57:47 PM(UTC)
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As forecast onshore showers from sunshine coast to Innisfall pushing in across the ranges. Radar picture. 2.30pm

Just small total so far but afternoon storms ?

exit I few strikes near Bundaberg ,Maryborough area.

2nd oct19 onshore showers east coast qld 3pm.jpg

Edited by user Wednesday, 2 October 2019 3:11:18 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Offline oceangyre  
#35 Posted : Wednesday, 9 October 2019 8:02:53 PM(UTC)
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This Saturday (12th Oct). looking very promising for Gladstone .Some rain . 80% chance of 5-10mm with thunderstorm BigGrin
Offline oceangyre  
#36 Posted : Friday, 11 October 2019 8:01:49 PM(UTC)
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Gladstone airport 14.2mm BigGrin since 9am

Rockhampton 10.8mm

Just west much less. A mm or so

Proserpine 29.6mm Good one!
Offline oceangyre  
#37 Posted : Friday, 11 October 2019 8:24:20 PM(UTC)
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I forgot to mention. Tomorrows rain forecast for Gladstone

Fabulous if this fulfills and a storm perhaps

METEYE

12thoct19 gladstone rain 30mm.jpg



Offline oceangyre  
#38 Posted : Friday, 18 October 2019 8:03:42 PM(UTC)
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The mean rainfall for Gladstone radar station for October is 60.1mm

Gladstone had all of that and more on one day. 81mm on the 12th October
BigGrin
The current monthly total is a wonderful 98.5mm. The inland regions not so lucky to date

Gladstone climate data online
http://www.bom.gov.au/js..._c=&p_stn_num=039123

Offline oceangyre  
#39 Posted : Saturday, 26 October 2019 7:24:07 PM(UTC)
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No rain forecast for Gladstone from the inland trough tomorrow, sunday 27th oct.
However south down toward the Maryborough, Sunshine coast area looks to have more weather of interest. It will be interesting to see how well inland QLD does with this inland trough tomorrow.
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CantSpellNarangba on 8/11/2019(UTC)
Offline CantSpellNarangba  
#40 Posted : Friday, 8 November 2019 8:03:20 PM(UTC)
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Still no rain forecast.
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