Weather Forum

Welcome Guest! To enable all features please Login or Register.

Notification

Icon
Error

3 Pages123>
Share
Options
Go to last post Go to first unread
Offline DelBoy  
#1 Posted : Thursday, 12 December 2019 1:11:38 PM(UTC)
DelBoy

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 13/09/2019(UTC)
Posts: 101
Location: Caboolture (the next Las Vegas!)

Thanks: 183 times
Was thanked: 279 time(s) in 86 post(s)
Creating a new thread... First one I have every done.
Following on from yesterdays surprise deluge for Brisbane.. Round two should happen this afternoon.

Copying a few posts from the day to day thread too (if I can work out how to do it)
thanks 3 users thanked DelBoy for this useful post.
Colmait on 12/12/2019(UTC), Pharbelle on 12/12/2019(UTC), Falling_Droplet on 12/12/2019(UTC)
Offline DelBoy  
#2 Posted : Thursday, 12 December 2019 1:12:40 PM(UTC)
DelBoy

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 13/09/2019(UTC)
Posts: 101
Location: Caboolture (the next Las Vegas!)

Thanks: 183 times
Was thanked: 279 time(s) in 86 post(s)
Originally Posted by: Pabloako Go to Quoted Post
Here are a few images from this mornings (12z) GFS run for 3pm today.

Rainfall
17.png

Lift Index
17 (1).png

CAPE
17 (2).png

50Hpa Wind
17 (3).png
thanks 2 users thanked DelBoy for this useful post.
Colmait on 12/12/2019(UTC), Falling_Droplet on 12/12/2019(UTC)
Offline DelBoy  
#3 Posted : Thursday, 12 December 2019 1:13:40 PM(UTC)
DelBoy

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 13/09/2019(UTC)
Posts: 101
Location: Caboolture (the next Las Vegas!)

Thanks: 183 times
Was thanked: 279 time(s) in 86 post(s)
Originally Posted by: SatMan Go to Quoted Post
115mm on my gauge this morning! I am trying to work out if that is correct or not! Confused Confused
54mm at the airport by the looks of it.

Edit: Yep, BOM say 130mm in Brisbane CDB!


thanks 2 users thanked DelBoy for this useful post.
Colmait on 12/12/2019(UTC), Falling_Droplet on 12/12/2019(UTC)
Offline DelBoy  
#4 Posted : Thursday, 12 December 2019 1:14:41 PM(UTC)
DelBoy

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 13/09/2019(UTC)
Posts: 101
Location: Caboolture (the next Las Vegas!)

Thanks: 183 times
Was thanked: 279 time(s) in 86 post(s)
Originally Posted by: SatMan Go to Quoted Post
115mm on my gauge this morning! I am trying to work out if that is correct or not! Confused Confused
54mm at the airport by the looks of it.

Edit: Yep, BOM say 130mm in Brisbane CDB!




Originally Posted by: Pabloako Go to Quoted Post
Just one more image for today. Built from BOM data for total rainfall since 9am yesterday. It is a bit rough, but gives you an idea of where the rain fell. Zero in OceanView Angry

Capture.JPG


thanks 2 users thanked DelBoy for this useful post.
Colmait on 12/12/2019(UTC), Falling_Droplet on 12/12/2019(UTC)
Offline DelBoy  
#5 Posted : Thursday, 12 December 2019 1:15:43 PM(UTC)
DelBoy

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 13/09/2019(UTC)
Posts: 101
Location: Caboolture (the next Las Vegas!)

Thanks: 183 times
Was thanked: 279 time(s) in 86 post(s)
Originally Posted by: Pabloako Go to Quoted Post
Here is today's sounding from Brisbane and pretty much reflects the GFS charts above.
If you get under a storm today there should be a good drink, because they will be very slow moving again.

Capture.PNG

thanks 2 users thanked DelBoy for this useful post.
Colmait on 12/12/2019(UTC), Falling_Droplet on 12/12/2019(UTC)
Offline DelBoy  
#6 Posted : Thursday, 12 December 2019 1:16:44 PM(UTC)
DelBoy

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 13/09/2019(UTC)
Posts: 101
Location: Caboolture (the next Las Vegas!)

Thanks: 183 times
Was thanked: 279 time(s) in 86 post(s)
Originally Posted by: Colmait Go to Quoted Post
Yeah there is plenty of instability/energy in the atmosphere and weak sheer especially in the mid levels which should create slow moving storms. We just have to crack 33°C and over to get the storms going a bit earlier this afternoon, but in saying that, like yesterday they were able to build on the outflow boundary they created, which means if we can’t break the cap earlier there is still the good chance as the evening arrives and moisture levels rise we have another scenario similar to Wednesday night.


Great explanation Colin. Wish I could decipher to that level!
thanks 3 users thanked DelBoy for this useful post.
SatMan on 12/12/2019(UTC), Colmait on 12/12/2019(UTC), Falling_Droplet on 12/12/2019(UTC)
Offline Pabloako  
#7 Posted : Thursday, 12 December 2019 1:22:41 PM(UTC)
Pabloako

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 21/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 182
Australia
Location: Ocean View

Thanks: 344 times
Was thanked: 532 time(s) in 159 post(s)
Great stuff Delboy. Thanks for starting the thread and I will have a drink and a toast to a decent shower this afternoon.
thanks 2 users thanked Pabloako for this useful post.
Colmait on 12/12/2019(UTC), Falling_Droplet on 12/12/2019(UTC)
Offline Colmait  
#8 Posted : Thursday, 12 December 2019 2:14:45 PM(UTC)
Colmait

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 21/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 191
Australia
Location: Brisbane Northside

Thanks: 959 times
Was thanked: 583 time(s) in 162 post(s)
A few cells now starting to pop up on the sweeps. A Nice little solid cell just need Allora.

Edit, thanks for starting the thread Delboy. I didn’t realise it was a new thread. Arghh I am dopey. BigGrin

11818EF5-A7C8-41C5-BF30-05C47B9D840B.png

Edited by user Thursday, 12 December 2019 2:16:26 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Colin Maitland.
thanks 1 user thanked Colmait for this useful post.
Falling_Droplet on 12/12/2019(UTC)
Offline SatMan  
#9 Posted : Thursday, 12 December 2019 3:17:14 PM(UTC)
SatMan

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 7/09/2019(UTC)
Posts: 67
Australia
Location: Brisbane

Thanks: 113 times
Was thanked: 207 time(s) in 61 post(s)
Bubbling up on the visible sat image.
Untitled.png
thanks 3 users thanked SatMan for this useful post.
Colmait on 12/12/2019(UTC), Pharbelle on 12/12/2019(UTC), Falling_Droplet on 12/12/2019(UTC)
Offline Colmait  
#10 Posted : Thursday, 12 December 2019 3:57:25 PM(UTC)
Colmait

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 21/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 191
Australia
Location: Brisbane Northside

Thanks: 959 times
Was thanked: 583 time(s) in 162 post(s)
Yeah Satman definitely can see the nice cells up near Blackbutt very clearly. Nice satpic.
Radar is a bit peppered but you can see it slowly back building which we need it to do. Beef itself up. The Seabreeze here is quite nice and not too strong so it could act as a nice feeder band into the system if they can get over the range.
Colin Maitland.
thanks 2 users thanked Colmait for this useful post.
CantSpellNarangba on 12/12/2019(UTC), Falling_Droplet on 12/12/2019(UTC)
Offline Pharbelle  
#11 Posted : Thursday, 12 December 2019 5:33:34 PM(UTC)
Pharbelle

Rank: Newbie

Groups: Registered
Joined: 23/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 9
Australia
Location: Burrum Heads

Thanks: 20 times
Was thanked: 26 time(s) in 8 post(s)
Nice pic Satman. Any chance of a view slightly to the North?
thanks 2 users thanked Pharbelle for this useful post.
CantSpellNarangba on 12/12/2019(UTC), Falling_Droplet on 12/12/2019(UTC)
Offline Colmait  
#12 Posted : Thursday, 12 December 2019 5:44:42 PM(UTC)
Colmait

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 21/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 191
Australia
Location: Brisbane Northside

Thanks: 959 times
Was thanked: 583 time(s) in 162 post(s)
Storms just struggling as it nears the Coast. But there are some nasty cells out there.
BoM warnimg1740CD62-492B-4232-B04E-9A1DCF6694AC.png
Colin Maitland.
thanks 3 users thanked Colmait for this useful post.
Pharbelle on 12/12/2019(UTC), CantSpellNarangba on 12/12/2019(UTC), Falling_Droplet on 12/12/2019(UTC)
Offline CantSpellNarangba  
#13 Posted : Thursday, 12 December 2019 5:51:43 PM(UTC)
CantSpellNarangba

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 23/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 155
Australia
Location: Narangba

Thanks: 280 times
Was thanked: 442 time(s) in 136 post(s)
Hmmm. Things don't seem to be panning out how the forecast charts said they would.
thanks 1 user thanked CantSpellNarangba for this useful post.
Falling_Droplet on 12/12/2019(UTC)
Offline CantSpellNarangba  
#14 Posted : Thursday, 12 December 2019 6:04:58 PM(UTC)
CantSpellNarangba

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 23/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 155
Australia
Location: Narangba

Thanks: 280 times
Was thanked: 442 time(s) in 136 post(s)
Originally Posted by: Pharbelle Go to Quoted Post
Nice pic Satman. Any chance of a view slightly to the North?


sure. here is the latest image. bit hard to see the coast line due to the sun setting and high cloud.

Untitled.png

thanks 4 users thanked CantSpellNarangba for this useful post.
Falling_Droplet on 12/12/2019(UTC), Colmait on 12/12/2019(UTC), Pharbelle on 12/12/2019(UTC), SatMan on 12/12/2019(UTC)
Offline Colmait  
#15 Posted : Thursday, 12 December 2019 6:07:48 PM(UTC)
Colmait

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 21/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 191
Australia
Location: Brisbane Northside

Thanks: 959 times
Was thanked: 583 time(s) in 162 post(s)
Originally Posted by: CantSpellNarangba Go to Quoted Post
Hmmm. Things don't seem to be panning out how the forecast charts said they would.


Today’s one was more likely to be in the evening unless we could have really cracked 33+°C then the cap would have broken and allowed the storms to fire off. We will need to see how tonights moisture mixes with the atmosphere and with the cells that are out there.

Even tomorrow, if the southerly pushes through too quick it can ruin any chances of a storm.

Weak shear storms are very hard to predict. It gets really frustrating especially when you can see them and they are not too far from you. There is 2 Severe cells just to the west of me, not far but just far enough.

Edited by user Thursday, 12 December 2019 6:09:59 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Colin Maitland.
thanks 3 users thanked Colmait for this useful post.
Falling_Droplet on 12/12/2019(UTC), CantSpellNarangba on 12/12/2019(UTC), Pharbelle on 12/12/2019(UTC)
Offline Falling_Droplet  
#16 Posted : Thursday, 12 December 2019 6:09:43 PM(UTC)
Falling_Droplet

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 25/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 711
Australia
Location: Ferny Grove

Thanks: 970 times
Was thanked: 844 time(s) in 407 post(s)
A warm day today and a few degrees cooler than yesterday. After the dew point rose earlier this morning the dew point have been stable and near average since the mid morning. Relative humidity have been near average. Light and variable winds in the morning became E to SE, ENE to SE in the afternoon, and E to NE since 3pm.

There are some small but severe cells trying to head my way to the west at the moment.
thanks 2 users thanked Falling_Droplet for this useful post.
Colmait on 12/12/2019(UTC), Pharbelle on 12/12/2019(UTC)
Offline Pharbelle  
#17 Posted : Thursday, 12 December 2019 6:18:06 PM(UTC)
Pharbelle

Rank: Newbie

Groups: Registered
Joined: 23/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 9
Australia
Location: Burrum Heads

Thanks: 20 times
Was thanked: 26 time(s) in 8 post(s)
Perfect CSN. Thank you.
Offline SatMan  
#18 Posted : Thursday, 12 December 2019 6:21:48 PM(UTC)
SatMan

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 7/09/2019(UTC)
Posts: 67
Australia
Location: Brisbane

Thanks: 113 times
Was thanked: 207 time(s) in 61 post(s)
Originally Posted by: CantSpellNarangba Go to Quoted Post
Originally Posted by: Pharbelle Go to Quoted Post
Nice pic Satman. Any chance of a view slightly to the North?


sure. here is the latest image. bit hard to see the coast line due to the sun setting and high cloud.

Untitled.png



You beat me too it CSN! :-)

Where did you get your data from?
thanks 3 users thanked SatMan for this useful post.
Pharbelle on 12/12/2019(UTC), CantSpellNarangba on 12/12/2019(UTC), Falling_Droplet on 12/12/2019(UTC)
Offline CantSpellNarangba  
#19 Posted : Thursday, 12 December 2019 6:25:38 PM(UTC)
CantSpellNarangba

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 23/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 155
Australia
Location: Narangba

Thanks: 280 times
Was thanked: 442 time(s) in 136 post(s)
Originally Posted by: SatMan Go to Quoted Post


You beat me too it CSN! :-)

Where did you get your data from?


I have a sexy little PowerShell script that I found on the web that downloads from somewhere in Japan. The image isn't as clear as yours and I think it is about 1.5 hours old.

I will PM you the link to it.

thanks 1 user thanked CantSpellNarangba for this useful post.
Pharbelle on 12/12/2019(UTC)
Offline Pharbelle  
#20 Posted : Thursday, 12 December 2019 6:32:15 PM(UTC)
Pharbelle

Rank: Newbie

Groups: Registered
Joined: 23/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 9
Australia
Location: Burrum Heads

Thanks: 20 times
Was thanked: 26 time(s) in 8 post(s)
Warning has shifted a bit to the north. Fingers crossed I might get something. It's been a long time between drinks up here.
thanks 2 users thanked Pharbelle for this useful post.
CantSpellNarangba on 12/12/2019(UTC), Falling_Droplet on 12/12/2019(UTC)
Users browsing this topic
OceanSpiders 2.0
3 Pages123>
Forum Jump  
You cannot post new topics in this forum.
You cannot reply to topics in this forum.
You cannot delete your posts in this forum.
You cannot edit your posts in this forum.
You cannot create polls in this forum.
You cannot vote in polls in this forum.

Weather Forum

Weatherzone Forum Alternative

The Weather Forum for Australia

Australian Weather Forum

Weather Forum for Australia, climate change, storm chasing, cyclones, weather photography