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Offline @_yassified_shak  
#801 Posted : Monday, 22 February 2021 1:01:03 PM(UTC)
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Another 80mm here in the past 24 hrs, but it its a beautiful sunny day, looks like it will be much the same for the rest of the week.
they have a top of 34 forecast for tomorrow.......
Offline ronfishes  
#802 Posted : Monday, 22 February 2021 7:23:59 PM(UTC)
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Storm brewed up this arvo, came through with a bit of wind and a few cracks of thunder. Only 5mm here, kept intensifying as it passed, looks to be still going as it moves north and east.
MTD:232.8mm
YTD:733.8mm
Offline FNQ Bunyip  
#803 Posted : Tuesday, 23 February 2021 10:31:09 AM(UTC)
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Was a ripper by the time it got up here Ron, How did the beaches go Hickory?

52mm in about 20mins , lots of banging and flashing.

Another beautiful morning, though very warm and sticky.



Cheers
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ronfishes on 23/02/2021(UTC)
Offline 28degrees  
#804 Posted : Tuesday, 23 February 2021 12:39:30 PM(UTC)
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35°

Feels like the dry season already
Offline ronfishes  
#805 Posted : Tuesday, 23 February 2021 8:35:21 PM(UTC)
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GFS and EC going for something around march 2-3
MTD:232.8mm
YTD:733.8mm
Offline ronfishes  
#806 Posted : Tuesday, 23 February 2021 8:41:30 PM(UTC)
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20210223_203938.jpg

20210223_203917.jpg
MTD:232.8mm
YTD:733.8mm
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monkeybusiness on 25/02/2021(UTC)
Offline Hickory  
#807 Posted : Tuesday, 23 February 2021 8:49:41 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: FNQ Bunyip Go to Quoted Post

Was a ripper by the time it got up here Ron, How did the beaches go Hickory?


I got 25.4 mm of it Bunyip. All in a short period of time.

A lot was just off the coast, unfortunately - sky was black as and more thunder than lightning.

The BoM's weekly WX guesstimate:-

Quote:
The Madden–Julian Oscillation weakens

A persistent trough across northern Australia is associated with an equatorial Rossby wave, which has helped make broadscale conditions favourable for enhanced tropical weather, comparable to the Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO).

Equatorial Rossby waves can often be identified by a pair of tropical lows at similar longitudes on both sides of the equator, and currently the southern hemisphere low lies just to the north-west of Darwin. This low is expected to intensify, strengthening a west to northwesterly wind flow around the system and potentially generating local monsoon conditions.

By the time this happens, the monsoonal flow is likely to be well west of the Australian mainland, with minimal influence expected across northern Australia.






Offline ronfishes  
#808 Posted : Wednesday, 24 February 2021 11:23:37 AM(UTC)
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In a reversal of yesterday GFS is now sending it east and EC into the gulf
MTD:232.8mm
YTD:733.8mm
Offline 28degrees  
#809 Posted : Wednesday, 24 February 2021 2:44:23 PM(UTC)
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Let's hope the radar is working for the next rain event.
Offline @_yassified_shak  
#810 Posted : Wednesday, 24 February 2021 6:03:21 PM(UTC)
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Wonder if we are going to get some "big rains" ? last night after dark i went for a walk down the creek and noticed a big trail of big black ants carrying eggs off to higher ground.....
Last time i saw that happen, we had 500mm in a bit over 12 hrs....
Offline Weary  
#811 Posted : Wednesday, 24 February 2021 6:14:42 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: 28degrees Go to Quoted Post
Let's hope the radar is working for the next rain event.


The radar is working fine, it’s just that BOM have decided to limit the display to 256km to all the radars they have.
Offline 28degrees  
#812 Posted : Wednesday, 24 February 2021 8:06:10 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Weary Go to Quoted Post
Originally Posted by: 28degrees Go to Quoted Post
Let's hope the radar is working for the next rain event.


The radar is working fine, it’s just that BOM have decided to limit the display to 256km to all the radars they have.


All the radars!
Why would they do that?

Did you get a response?
Offline Hickory  
#813 Posted : Wednesday, 24 February 2021 11:51:49 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Weary Go to Quoted Post
Originally Posted by: 28degrees Go to Quoted Post
Let's hope the radar is working for the next rain event.


The radar is working fine, it’s just that BOM have decided to limit the display to 256km to all the radars they have.


The distance from CNS radar to Weipa radar is about 614 km,- so halfway is 307 km which is only 51 km outside the 256 km range of both radars.

Surely that's enough coverage to see what's going on on the Cape and in the Gulf. The few km's missing between the two is fairly desolate nothingness.

The population in the missing bit wouldn't be many, at all.

CNS - WEIPA Radar - S.jpg



Offline Weary  
#814 Posted : Thursday, 25 February 2021 7:39:46 AM(UTC)
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Hickory, 51 km at the closest point maybe, but we are dealing with arcs. See below, huge areas not covered because of the 256 km limit when the radars can “see” much further than that
76D50409-59B9-44BE-8051-3496CF6A1ECD.png
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monkeybusiness on 25/02/2021(UTC)
Offline FNQ Bunyip  
#815 Posted : Thursday, 25 February 2021 7:42:15 AM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Weary Go to Quoted Post
Originally Posted by: 28degrees Go to Quoted Post
Let's hope the radar is working for the next rain event.


The radar is working fine, it’s just that BOM have decided to limit the display to 256km to all the radars they have.



Do you have a source or link for that ???

The idea was that they overlap, so as to get the best info.


& Hickory, While there might not be many people in the missing bit< I know some of the one that are
and they would like the radar to work. It also gives a better incite into what could be coming as
systems cross the cape.


6mm here this morning from a few small showers overnight and early this morning.


Cheers
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monkeybusiness on 25/02/2021(UTC)
Offline 28degrees  
#816 Posted : Thursday, 25 February 2021 10:07:28 AM(UTC)
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Another early dry season day by the looks. Not too hot, hasn't gone over 35°.

If I lived on the coast the 256 can tell you plenty, and you get regular rain. We in the less populated areas have completely different conditions and circumstances, and always desperate for rain.

Our weather usually comes from eastwards. But it's the few times from the west we need to know about. You know, whether we should consider driving further up the road or wait a day or too, rather than get trapped between flooded crossings.
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monkeybusiness on 26/02/2021(UTC)
Offline ronfishes  
#817 Posted : Thursday, 25 February 2021 3:02:04 PM(UTC)
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Few decent showers coming in this arvo, got a bit wet at Goldsborough.

A lot of those white shaded areas are in radar shadows even if they are at full range. That massive area roughly from Kowanyama -> Coen -> Laura has always lacked coverage for example.
MTD:232.8mm
YTD:733.8mm
Offline Hickory  
#818 Posted : Friday, 26 February 2021 3:25:44 AM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Weary Go to Quoted Post
Hickory, 51 km at the closest point maybe, but we are dealing with arcs. See below, huge areas not covered because of the 256 km limit when the radars can “see” much further than that


I realise it's an arc, but I just measured off the total distance to see how much was missing.

Saddle mountain radar is in a fairly good spot, but Weipa is on a pole at 25 metres at the A/P which is 19 mt AMSL, so maybe not so reliable at or beyond 256 km's.
Maybe BoM would rather show coverage they know is accurate, than be abused for data that's not too accurate. Who knows.

The visible sat imagery, (or the infrared after dark), would give some idea of what's happening in the blank spots.



Offline Weary  
#819 Posted : Friday, 26 February 2021 2:54:25 PM(UTC)
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Hmmm. BOM are starting to get excited about the low in the Coral Sea.
Offline ronfishes  
#820 Posted : Friday, 26 February 2021 4:32:40 PM(UTC)
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Considering its been in the models for a few days but their outlook only goes for 3..


A weak and broad low is embedded within the developing monsoon trough in the northwestern Coral Sea. The low is expected to develop over the next few days into next week, the rate dependent on the system's proximity to land, with a favourable environment increasing the likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the region next week.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:
Saturday:
Very Low
Sunday:
Low
Monday:
Moderate



http://www.bom.gov.au/au...harts/viewer/index.shtml
MTD:232.8mm
YTD:733.8mm
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