Weather Forum

Welcome Guest! To enable all features please Login or Register.

Notification

Icon
Error

Share
Options
Go to last post Go to first unread
Offline FNQ Bunyip  
#1 Posted : Thursday, 23 December 2021 11:34:38 AM(UTC)
FNQ Bunyip

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 12/02/2020(UTC)
Posts: 223
Australia
Location: Daintree

Thanks: 1 times
Was thanked: 101 time(s) in 89 post(s)

Well it's pretty quiet around here but I'll open this up as it's time our season got going.
No discussion on here when Ruby formed and moved off as expected, and pulled the nice early wet stuff
we were getting away with her.

I have been hearing a few suggestions that things are going to fire up in the gulf soon.

So any forecasts/predictions of possible systems or impact zones. Wild or mild just for a bit of
discussion.
I'll go with a mid March crossing the coast Between Cairns and Cardwell. Blink
And a late April Blink going down the inland and out over Sunshine coast, flooding most of Queensland
and Brisbane again.



Cheers
thanks 2 users thanked FNQ Bunyip for this useful post.
28degrees on 23/12/2021(UTC), monkeybusiness on 29/12/2021(UTC)
Offline 28degrees  
#2 Posted : Thursday, 23 December 2021 7:54:52 PM(UTC)
28degrees

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 27/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 409
Australia
Location: Chillagoe

Thanks: 297 times
Was thanked: 96 time(s) in 76 post(s)
Being old and cynical, I'll go with the April option...
Offline FNQ Bunyip  
#3 Posted : Saturday, 1 January 2022 8:19:27 AM(UTC)
FNQ Bunyip

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 12/02/2020(UTC)
Posts: 223
Australia
Location: Daintree

Thanks: 1 times
Was thanked: 101 time(s) in 89 post(s)

Well Seth formed and is already impacting beaches with bigger seas.
You lot down south may get a bit of action. Enjoy.


Cheers
Offline FNQ Bunyip  
#4 Posted : Sunday, 2 January 2022 11:48:53 AM(UTC)
FNQ Bunyip

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 12/02/2020(UTC)
Posts: 223
Australia
Location: Daintree

Thanks: 1 times
Was thanked: 101 time(s) in 89 post(s)

Cyclone Seth is still a long way out, but has now closed a few beaches with big seas.

Looks like the days of forums are albut over, no interest here at all with a cyclone of the coast of Brisbane. :(
Thought there would be a bit of discussion.


Cheers
Offline 28degrees  
#5 Posted : Sunday, 2 January 2022 1:05:00 PM(UTC)
28degrees

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 27/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 409
Australia
Location: Chillagoe

Thanks: 297 times
Was thanked: 96 time(s) in 76 post(s)
Originally Posted by: FNQ Bunyip Go to Quoted Post
Looks like the days of forums are albut over


Seems to be that way. Every now and then I check out others but can't find familiar names, and some are extremely quiet. They really did some "book burning" when they shut down the Weatherzone forum.
Offline FNQ Bunyip  
#6 Posted : Monday, 3 January 2022 7:39:30 AM(UTC)
FNQ Bunyip

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 12/02/2020(UTC)
Posts: 223
Australia
Location: Daintree

Thanks: 1 times
Was thanked: 101 time(s) in 89 post(s)

They sure did kill off the online weather community, a real shame :(

Ex Seth is still causing big seas on the coast.



Cheers
Offline youcantbecirrus  
#7 Posted : Monday, 3 January 2022 2:48:08 PM(UTC)
youcantbecirrus

Rank: Newbie

Groups: Registered
Joined: 3/01/2022(UTC)
Posts: 1
Australia
Location: Cairns

Was thanked: 1 time(s) in 1 post(s)
You're right there. Had great discussions about weather and I personally learnt a lot through those weatherzone forums. Theres more activity on the ski.com cyclone thread. But I only recognise a couple of familiar faces Crying
thanks 1 user thanked youcantbecirrus for this useful post.
28degrees on 3/01/2022(UTC)
Offline 28degrees  
#8 Posted : Monday, 3 January 2022 3:16:32 PM(UTC)
28degrees

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 27/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 409
Australia
Location: Chillagoe

Thanks: 297 times
Was thanked: 96 time(s) in 76 post(s)
Originally Posted by: youcantbecirrus Go to Quoted Post
You're right there. Had great discussions about weather and I personally learnt a lot through those weatherzone forums. Theres more activity on the ski.com cyclone thread. But I only recognise a couple of familiar faces Crying


Feels kinda weird to go looking for cyclones on a forum called "ski".

thanks 1 user thanked 28degrees for this useful post.
monkeybusiness on 4/01/2022(UTC)
Offline FNQ Bunyip  
#9 Posted : Tuesday, 4 January 2022 6:40:40 AM(UTC)
FNQ Bunyip

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 12/02/2020(UTC)
Posts: 223
Australia
Location: Daintree

Thanks: 1 times
Was thanked: 101 time(s) in 89 post(s)
Originally Posted by: youcantbecirrus Go to Quoted Post
Had great discussions about weather and I personally learnt a lot through those weatherzone forums. Crying



That is the bit that is the hardest, we had so many knowledgeable people that were prepared to share how and whys. Now they are all scattered across the internet with no central spot. Angry

Yes I agree 28, cyclones and ski just don't seem like they belong together LOL


Early models are showing a system off our NTC next week, something to watch for now.




Cheers
thanks 2 users thanked FNQ Bunyip for this useful post.
monkeybusiness on 4/01/2022(UTC), 28degrees on 8/01/2022(UTC)
Offline 28degrees  
#10 Posted : Tuesday, 4 January 2022 8:00:21 AM(UTC)
28degrees

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 27/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 409
Australia
Location: Chillagoe

Thanks: 297 times
Was thanked: 96 time(s) in 76 post(s)
It was shameful to destroy a forum like that. It's been gone 2-3 years ago now, but still can get a bit angry at times when I think of the amount of knowledge lost. It's like burning an expensive encyclopaedia.
thanks 1 user thanked 28degrees for this useful post.
monkeybusiness on 4/01/2022(UTC)
Offline ronfishes  
#11 Posted : Saturday, 8 January 2022 1:01:00 PM(UTC)
ronfishes

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 21/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 130
Australia
Location: Cairns

Thanks: 32 times
Was thanked: 79 time(s) in 62 post(s)
Totally agree with you guys, real shame.

It's not often the BoM put out the cyclone outlook at 0930.


Tropical Cyclone Outlook for The Coral Sea

IDQ10810
Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea

Issued at 9:35 am EST on Saturday 8 January 2022
for the period until midnight EST Monday 10 January 2022.
Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:

Nil.
Potential Cyclones:

A low is expected to form today in the northern Coral Sea off the far north Queensland coast and initially move to the southeast away from the coast. During Sunday the low is likely to turn to the west towards the coast and approach Cape York Peninsula on Monday. It is now rated a moderate chance of developing into a tropical cyclone before it makes landfall to the north of Cooktown, at this stage later Monday or on Tuesday before subsequently moving to the west southwest over land.

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:
Saturday:
Very Low
Sunday:
Low
Monday:
Moderate
thanks 2 users thanked ronfishes for this useful post.
monkeybusiness on 8/01/2022(UTC), 28degrees on 8/01/2022(UTC)
Offline ronfishes  
#12 Posted : Saturday, 8 January 2022 2:39:21 PM(UTC)
ronfishes

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 21/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 130
Australia
Location: Cairns

Thanks: 32 times
Was thanked: 79 time(s) in 62 post(s)
And the PM outlook is out:

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for The Coral Sea

IDQ10810
Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea

Issued at 2:35 pm EST on Saturday 8 January 2022
for the period until midnight EST Tuesday 11 January 2022.
Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:

Nil.
Potential Cyclones:

A low is forming today in the northern Coral Sea, about 400km northeast of Cooktown. Although it forecast to initially move to the southeast away from the coast, it is expected to turn to the west on Sunday towards the coast and approach Cape York Peninsula on Monday. It may develop into a tropical cyclone before making landfall to the north of Cooktown, by Tuesday before subsequently moving to the west southwest over land.

Please refer to further tropical cyclone information for updates available at: www.bom.gov.au/cyclone.

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:
Sunday:
Low
Monday:
Moderate
Tuesday:
High
thanks 1 user thanked ronfishes for this useful post.
28degrees on 8/01/2022(UTC)
Offline FNQ Bunyip  
#13 Posted : Saturday, 8 January 2022 5:04:44 PM(UTC)
FNQ Bunyip

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 12/02/2020(UTC)
Posts: 223
Australia
Location: Daintree

Thanks: 1 times
Was thanked: 101 time(s) in 89 post(s)
Yeah Ron I saw that early outlook and wondered if they were getting a little excited :)

Looking forward to some rain, something has to give soon.


Yeah 28 they burned the whole library, shameful that some faceless button pusher can just do that with no accountability.




Cheers

EDIT to add now have a cyclone watch.

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 1
Issued at 4:35 pm EST on Saturday 8 January 2022

Headline:
Cyclone Watch declared for far north Queensland for a developing tropical low in the northern Coral Sea.

Areas Affected:
Warning Zone
None.

Watch Zone
Cape Grenville to Cape Tribulation, including Cooktown.

Cancelled Zone
None.

Details of Tropical Low at 4:00 pm AEST [3:30 pm ACST]:
Intensity: Tropical Low, sustained winds near the centre of 45 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 85 kilometres per hour.

Location: within 85 kilometres of 12.8 degrees South 147.8 degrees East, estimated to be 405 kilometres northeast of Cooktown and 515 kilometres east northeast of Coen.

Movement: south southeast at 11 kilometres per hour.

The tropical low is currently moving slowly southeast in the northern Coral Sea. It is expected to start moving to the west on Sunday, possibly crossing the far north Queensland coast later on Monday or Tuesday between Cooktown and Lockhart River. There is a chance it develops into a tropical cyclone before reaching the coast.

The tropical low is expected to continue moving west into the Gulf of Carpentaria on Tuesday or Wednesday where is likely to quickly strengthen.



Cheers

Edited by user Saturday, 8 January 2022 5:09:34 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

thanks 2 users thanked FNQ Bunyip for this useful post.
28degrees on 8/01/2022(UTC), monkeybusiness on 9/01/2022(UTC)
Offline ronfishes  
#14 Posted : Sunday, 9 January 2022 6:01:23 PM(UTC)
ronfishes

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 21/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 130
Australia
Location: Cairns

Thanks: 32 times
Was thanked: 79 time(s) in 62 post(s)
Forecast map for tropical cyclone Tiffany:

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDQ65002.shtml
Offline 28degrees  
#15 Posted : Sunday, 9 January 2022 8:41:53 PM(UTC)
28degrees

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 27/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 409
Australia
Location: Chillagoe

Thanks: 297 times
Was thanked: 96 time(s) in 76 post(s)
Some nice evening skies. Not holding my breath for the rain.

The mock oranges have finally bloomed today. But they've been known to get confused out here.
Users browsing this topic
OceanSpiders 2.0
Forum Jump  
You cannot post new topics in this forum.
You cannot reply to topics in this forum.
You cannot delete your posts in this forum.
You cannot edit your posts in this forum.
You cannot create polls in this forum.
You cannot vote in polls in this forum.

Weather Forum

Weatherzone Forum Alternative

The Weather Forum for Australia

Australian Weather Forum

Weather Forum for Australia, climate change, storm chasing, cyclones, weather photography