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Offline Ken  
#781 Posted : Sunday, 24 November 2019 6:04:43 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: NotCrocDundee Go to Quoted Post
Originally Posted by: Pabloako Go to Quoted Post
Still along way out, but it has been very consistent on the extended range GFS for most of this week, so I thought I would share an image
Nothing to get excited about yet, but it would be bloody nice!

Sadly it is diminishing more and more with every run Mellow ThumbDown Sad Pray

Classic for this area but in saying that, not many models have really been going for significant rainfall amounts anyway within the near term.

1st graphic above - the latest 10-day multimodel accumulated precip graph for Brisbane

2nd graphic above - the latest spaghetti diagram from the EC ensemble re the 2-week total precip amounts. The contours represent areas of different rainfall amounts being exceeded by each of the ensemble's 51 forecast members, colour-coded by rainfall amount. The shaded grey areas representing the control member (the unperturbed member) in the ensemble is a bit hard to see on that map. You can see a lot of its members are going for more than 100mm in areas like the western NT Top End and western TAS, some (but not all) are nudging 100mm in some sections of far north QLD/eastern NSW/eastern VIC, while the majority are currently going for lower amounts in areas like SE QLD.
thanks 7 users thanked Ken for this useful post.
CantSpellNarangba on 24/11/2019(UTC), SatMan on 24/11/2019(UTC), DelBoy on 24/11/2019(UTC), NoDrops on 24/11/2019(UTC), Falling_Droplet on 24/11/2019(UTC), Colmait on 25/11/2019(UTC), retired weather man on 25/11/2019(UTC)
Offline Falling_Droplet  
#782 Posted : Sunday, 24 November 2019 11:36:39 PM(UTC)
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Near average maximum temperature today with the temperature variable and temporarily falling at times from the mid morning until the mid afternoon. Dew point was near average falling during the morning, rising in the afternoon and been stable in the last few hours. Relative humidity was near average. Light E to NE winds , ENE to NE from mid afternoon, some E to ENE winds tonight and have became calm in the last 30 minutes.
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Colmait on 25/11/2019(UTC), retired weather man on 25/11/2019(UTC)
Offline retired weather man  
#783 Posted : Monday, 25 November 2019 7:39:26 AM(UTC)
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WYNNUM NORTH ( 27.4S 153.2E ) - WEATHER

DATE...25 NOV 2019 TIME....0730

CURRENT TEMPERATURE...24.8C
CURRENT HUMIDITY........63%
CURRENT DEW POINT.......17C
CURRENT WIND DIR/SPEED..NE 14Kph
CURRENT VISIBILITY......35KM
CURRENT MSL PRESSURE...1017.0Hpa
CURRENT CLOUD..........3/8 Cu, 2/8 Sc
CURRENT WEATHER......No significant weather
RAIN SINCE 0900 SUNDAY...0.0mm

SUMMARY LAST 24 HOURS
YESTERDAY'S MAX TEMP.........29.4C
THIS MORNING'S MIN TEMP......19.2C
PAST 24 HOURS TEMP ANOMALY..+1.40C
THIS MORNING'S GRASS MIN.....17.5C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR DEW POINT......18C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR MSLP........1015.8Hpa
PAST 24 HOURS MAX WIND GUST...E 38kph at 1153
PAST 24 HR SIGNIFICANT WEATHER...No significant weather.
Wyn Nth 2020-Jan165,
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Falling_Droplet on 25/11/2019(UTC), Colmait on 25/11/2019(UTC)
Offline Falling_Droplet  
#784 Posted : Monday, 25 November 2019 7:57:04 AM(UTC)
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Ferny Grove Weather
Date: 25 Nov 2019
Time: 7:40 AM

Min Temp since 9am yesterday: 16.2 C
Max Temp since 9am yesterday: 31.1 C
Min Ground Temp: 14.8 C
Rain since 9am yesterday: 0 mm

Temperature: 24.1 C
Relative Humidity: 52 %
Dew Point: 13.6 C
MSL Pressure: 1017 hPa
Wind Speed: 8 kph - light breeze
Wind Direction: NE

Present Weather: State of sky generally unchanged during preceding hour
Visibility: 20km to 39km - Very Good Visibility
Cloud Cover: 3/8
Ground State: Ground dry

Notes of yesterday weather - 24/11/19: Fine and partly cloudy with cu clouds and ac and ci clouds from the middle of the day. Variable temperature falling at times during the morning and afternoon. Mostly calm winds earl in the day with N to ENE winds during the morning with some SE to ENE winds, E to NE from mid morning, ENE to NE from mid afternoon with some E to ENE winds at times in the evening before becoming calm in the late evening.

Today: Dew point have been near average have generally fallen slightly today. Near average relative humidity. Calm winds overnight with ESE to SW winds in the last 2 hours with ESE to NE winds and some N to NE winds in the last hour.
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Colmait on 25/11/2019(UTC), retired weather man on 26/11/2019(UTC)
Offline Falling_Droplet  
#785 Posted : Monday, 25 November 2019 11:03:11 PM(UTC)
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Near average maximum temperature today and a bit variable in the morning and afternoon. Dew point is remaining near average rising during the morning and afternoon and have been stable since the early afternoon. Relative humidity was near average. Winds were light E to NE winds, mostly ENE to NE from the mid afternoon becoming NNW to NE tonight.
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Colmait on 26/11/2019(UTC), retired weather man on 26/11/2019(UTC)
Offline retired weather man  
#786 Posted : Tuesday, 26 November 2019 7:30:12 AM(UTC)
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WYNNUM NORTH ( 27.4S 153.2E ) - WEATHER

DATE...26 NOV 2019 TIME....0725

CURRENT TEMPERATURE...24.9C
CURRENT HUMIDITY........71%
CURRENT DEW POINT.......19C
CURRENT WIND DIR/SPEED..NNW 16Kph
CURRENT VISIBILITY......25KM
CURRENT MSL PRESSURE...1014.8pa
CURRENT CLOUD..........1/8 Cu, 4/8 Sc
CURRENT WEATHER......Smoke haze
RAIN SINCE 0900 MONDAY...0.0mm

SUMMARY LAST 24 HOURS
YESTERDAY'S MAX TEMP.........29.1C
THIS MORNING'S MIN TEMP......21.1C
PAST 24 HOURS TEMP ANOMALY..+2.15C
THIS MORNING'S GRASS MIN.....21.0C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR DEW POINT......19C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR MSLP........1014.4Hpa
PAST 24 HOURS MAX WIND GUST...E 36kph at 1318
PAST 24 HR SIGNIFICANT WEATHER...Smoke haze developed with a more NNW airflow.
Wyn Nth 2020-Jan165,
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Falling_Droplet on 26/11/2019(UTC), Ambient on 26/11/2019(UTC), Colmait on 28/11/2019(UTC)
Offline Falling_Droplet  
#787 Posted : Tuesday, 26 November 2019 8:07:20 AM(UTC)
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Ferny Grove Weather
Date: 26 Nov 2019
Time: 7:50 AM

Min Temp since 9am yesterday: 19.3 C
Max Temp since 9am yesterday: 30.7 C
Min Ground Temp: 17 C
Rain since 9am yesterday: 0 mm

Temperature: 26.1 C
Relative Humidity: 50 %
Dew Point: 14.8 C
MSL Pressure: 1014.2 hPa
Wind Speed: 11 kph - light breeze
Wind Direction: NNW

Present Weather: State of sky generally unchanged during preceding hour
Visibility: 20km to 39km - Very Good Visibility
Cloud Cover: 3/8
Ground State: Ground dry

Notes of yesterday weather - 25/11/19: Partly cloudy with cu and sc clouds and ac clouds in the afternoon. Variable temperature in the morning and afternoon. Dew point was near average and was generally stable until mid morning, before rising and became stable from the early afternoon. Light and variable winds in the early morning before E to NE winds from the mid morning, mostly ENE to NE winds from the mid afternoon and became NNW to NE in the evening.

Today: Light NNE to NW winds at times so far today. Dew point have been near average and mostly stable. Relative humidity and temperature have been near average.
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Ambient on 26/11/2019(UTC), retired weather man on 26/11/2019(UTC), CantSpellNarangba on 26/11/2019(UTC), Colmait on 28/11/2019(UTC)
Offline CantSpellNarangba  
#788 Posted : Tuesday, 26 November 2019 7:22:57 PM(UTC)
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I have been in two minds to start a thread or not for possible storms over the next couple of days, plus the weekend. Models are 50/50 and I don't want to jinx it by creating a new thread!
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retired weather man on 27/11/2019(UTC), Colmait on 28/11/2019(UTC)
Offline Falling_Droplet  
#789 Posted : Tuesday, 26 November 2019 10:59:46 PM(UTC)
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Warmer today with a maximum temperature of 32.5 C. The temperature was a little variable. The dew point have been near average today, which fell during the morning before rising in the late morning and been stable in the afternoon and tonight. Relative humidity have been near average also. Light N to NE winds in the morning with some E to NE winds, E to NE winds from midday, ENE to NE from 4pm, and N to NE tonight.
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retired weather man on 27/11/2019(UTC), Colmait on 28/11/2019(UTC)
Offline Tsunami  
#790 Posted : Wednesday, 27 November 2019 6:48:05 AM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: CantSpellNarangba Go to Quoted Post
I have been in two minds to start a thread or not for possible storms over the next couple of days, plus the weekend. Models are 50/50 and I don't want to jinx it by creating a new thread!


Think its already Jinxed lol
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retired weather man on 27/11/2019(UTC), Falling_Droplet on 27/11/2019(UTC), Colmait on 28/11/2019(UTC)
Offline retired weather man  
#791 Posted : Wednesday, 27 November 2019 7:29:15 AM(UTC)
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WYNNUM NORTH ( 27.4S 153.2E ) - WEATHER

DATE...27 NOV 2019 TIME....0725

CURRENT TEMPERATURE...26.2C
CURRENT HUMIDITY........73%
CURRENT DEW POINT.......21C
CURRENT WIND DIR/SPEED..N 12Kph
CURRENT VISIBILITY......25KM
CURRENT MSL PRESSURE...1012.4Hpa
CURRENT CLOUD..........1/8 Ac, 1/8 Cc, 5/8 Ci
CURRENT WEATHER......Smoke haze
RAIN SINCE 0900 TUESDAY...0.0mm

SUMMARY LAST 24 HOURS
YESTERDAY'S MAX TEMP.........29.3C
THIS MORNING'S MIN TEMP......21.4C
PAST 24 HOURS TEMP ANOMALY..+2.40C
THIS MORNING'S GRASS MIN.....21.0C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR DEW POINT......20C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR MSLP........1011.7Hpa
PAST 24 HOURS MAX WIND GUST...NE 50kph at 1140
PAST 24 HR SIGNIFICANT WEATHER...Smoke haze.
Wyn Nth 2020-Jan165,
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Falling_Droplet on 27/11/2019(UTC), Colmait on 28/11/2019(UTC)
Offline Falling_Droplet  
#792 Posted : Wednesday, 27 November 2019 8:18:16 AM(UTC)
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Ferny Grove Weather
Date: 27 Nov 2019
Time: 7:50 AM

Min Temp since 9am yesterday: 20.7 C
Max Temp since 9am yesterday: 32.5 C
Min Ground Temp: 19.8 C
Rain since 9am yesterday: 0 mm

Temperature: 27.8 C
Relative Humidity: 52 %
Dew Point: 17 C
MSL Pressure: 1012.3 hPa
Wind Speed: 5kph - light breeze
Wind Direction: NE

Present Weather: Visibility reduced by smoke
Visibility: 20km to 39km - Very Good Visibility
Cloud Cover: 1/8
Ground State: Ground dry

Notes of yesterday weather - 26/11/19: Fine and partly cloudy with cu and sc clouds and afternoon ci clouds. Developing smoke haze. A warm day and the temperature was variable during the morning. Dew point was near average and fell during the morning and rose in the late morning before becoming stable for the rest of the day. Light NNE to NNW winds at times early in the day before N to NE winds in the morning with some E to NE wind, E to NE winds in the afternoon, ENE to NE in the late afternoon and N to NE in the evening.

Today: The temperature have been rising quickly this morning after a slightly above average minimum temperature. Dew point have been near average and stable. Relative humidity have been near average. Wind have been light NW to NNE winds until 1am, then calm winds and N to NE winds becoming E to NE in the last 2 hours.
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Colmait on 28/11/2019(UTC), retired weather man on 28/11/2019(UTC)
Offline Falling_Droplet  
#793 Posted : Wednesday, 27 November 2019 10:22:20 PM(UTC)
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A warm day. Smoke haze increased during today. Dew point have been near average and was generally stable until falling from the early afternoon becoming stable tonight. Relative humidity was near average. Light E to NE winds in the morning becoming ENE to SE, E to SE from the late morning, ESE to ENE from mid afternoon before veering from 4pm becoming S to SE in the last 2 hours.
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Colmait on 28/11/2019(UTC), retired weather man on 28/11/2019(UTC)
Offline retired weather man  
#794 Posted : Thursday, 28 November 2019 7:30:38 AM(UTC)
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WYNNUM NORTH ( 27.4S 153.2E ) - WEATHER

DATE...28 NOV 2019 TIME....0720

CURRENT TEMPERATURE...22.8C
CURRENT HUMIDITY........78%
CURRENT DEW POINT.......19C
CURRENT WIND DIR/SPEED..SSE 11Kph
CURRENT VISIBILITY......20KM
CURRENT MSL PRESSURE...1017.5Hpa
CURRENT CLOUD..........1/8 Cu, 7/8 Sc
CURRENT WEATHER......Smoke haze
RAIN SINCE 0900 WEDNESDAY...0.0mm

SUMMARY LAST 24 HOURS
YESTERDAY'S MAX TEMP.........29.9C
THIS MORNING'S MIN TEMP......21.2C
PAST 24 HOURS TEMP ANOMALY..+2.60C
THIS MORNING'S GRASS MIN.....20.9C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR DEW POINT......20C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR MSLP........1014.7Hpa
PAST 24 HOURS MAX WIND GUST...S 41kph at 2030
PAST 24 HR SIGNIFICANT WEATHER...Smoke haze.
Wyn Nth 2020-Jan165,
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Falling_Droplet on 28/11/2019(UTC)
Offline Falling_Droplet  
#795 Posted : Thursday, 28 November 2019 8:11:38 AM(UTC)
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Ferny Grove Weather
Date: 28 Nov 2019
Time: 7:55 AM

Min Temp since 9am yesterday: 22.9 C
Max Temp since 9am yesterday: 33.4 C
Min Ground Temp: 21.9 C
Rain since 9am yesterday: 0 mm

Temperature: 22.9 C
Relative Humidity: 63 %
Dew Point: 15.4 C
MSL Pressure: 1017.9 hPa
Wind Speed: 2 kph - light air
Wind Direction: SSE

Present Weather: Smoke haze
Visibility: 20km to 39km - Very Good Visibility
Cloud Cover: 8/8
Ground State: Ground dry

Notes of yesterday weather - Fine. Partly cloudy with sc and cu clouds in the morning becoming cloudy with ci and as clouds also. A warm day. Dew point was near average and rose during the morning and fell in the afternoon and evening. Relative humidity was near average. Light NE to NNE winds becoming calm in the early hours, N to NE becoming E to NE in the early morning, E to SE from late morning, then ESE to ENE from the mid afternoon, veering from the late afternoon with S to SE winds in the evening.

Today: A warm morning with very stable temperature due to the cloud coverage. Dew point has been near average and stable. Relative humidity has been moderately low and stable. Light S to SE winds.
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retired weather man on 29/11/2019(UTC)
Offline Ken  
#796 Posted : Thursday, 28 November 2019 7:06:27 PM(UTC)
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Sunday's currently looking good - showers and thunderstorms, some possibly severe due to the strong shear. But I won't be having a close look at it until later on Friday or Saturday.

Getting very hot with increased fire dangers as well.
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Paul Atkins on 28/11/2019(UTC), CantSpellNarangba on 28/11/2019(UTC), DelBoy on 28/11/2019(UTC), SunSpots on 28/11/2019(UTC), Falling_Droplet on 29/11/2019(UTC), retired weather man on 29/11/2019(UTC)
Offline Pabloako  
#797 Posted : Thursday, 28 November 2019 8:26:49 PM(UTC)
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GFS has had Sunday in its runs with varying degrees of rain since last weekend. The latest run is looking for around 9mm for SEQ (I have looked mainly north of Brisbane), which would be nice.
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DelBoy on 28/11/2019(UTC), SunSpots on 28/11/2019(UTC), Falling_Droplet on 29/11/2019(UTC), retired weather man on 29/11/2019(UTC)
Offline DelBoy  
#798 Posted : Thursday, 28 November 2019 8:33:04 PM(UTC)
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My concern is what comes after Sunday. Back to mid to high 30s, NW winds and Server fire danger for Monday and probably higher later in the week. ThumbDown
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Falling_Droplet on 29/11/2019(UTC), retired weather man on 29/11/2019(UTC)
Offline Greg  
#799 Posted : Thursday, 28 November 2019 10:03:03 PM(UTC)
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Decided to have a break from the heat and have spent the last five days in Hobart. Temperature on Mt Wellington this morning when I was up there 4.3 with an Apparent temperature of -4.4. Two jumpers and a gortex jacket on and still felt the cold. Lying in bed at the moment and listening to the rain on the roof. Not looking forward one bit to returning to mid 30 temps next week.

Greg

Edited by user Thursday, 28 November 2019 10:05:51 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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Offline Falling_Droplet  
#800 Posted : Thursday, 28 November 2019 11:59:50 PM(UTC)
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Much cooler today with the maximum temperature slightly below average. The temperature was variable during the late morning to mid afternoon. During the late morning and middle of the day the temperature was stable or falling before rising in the afternoon. Dew point was near average and rose during the morning and early afternoon before becoming stable. Relative humidity was quite stable today and near average. Wind have been S to ESE in the morning, ESE to ENE from the late morning, ENE to NE from the late afternoon and N to NE since 9pm.

Edited by user Friday, 29 November 2019 12:00:39 AM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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retired weather man on 29/11/2019(UTC)
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