Weather Forum

Welcome Guest! To enable all features please Login or Register.

Notification

Icon
Error

98 Pages«<2829303132>»
Share
Options
Go to last post Go to first unread
Offline ronfishes  
#581 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 4:58:58 PM(UTC)
ronfishes

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 21/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 252
Australia
Location: Cairns

Thanks: 141 times
Was thanked: 244 time(s) in 170 post(s)
Crossing also changed to pm now. Gonna be a moist night and day I think
Dodgy records for 2022: 1520mm
2023: 2710mm 2024: 951.6mm
Jan 24: 449.6mm
Feb 24: 350mm
Mar 24: 152mm
thanks 1 user thanked ronfishes for this useful post.
28degrees on 17/01/2021(UTC)
Offline Weary  
#582 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 5:23:24 PM(UTC)
Weary

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 12/02/2020(UTC)
Posts: 259
Australia
Location: Cairns

Was thanked: 290 time(s) in 182 post(s)
Originally Posted by: ronfishes Go to Quoted Post
Crossing also changed to pm now. Gonna be a moist night and day I think


And more time spin up over that nice warm water...

thanks 1 user thanked Weary for this useful post.
28degrees on 17/01/2021(UTC)
Offline ronfishes  
#583 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 5:46:53 PM(UTC)
ronfishes

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 21/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 252
Australia
Location: Cairns

Thanks: 141 times
Was thanked: 244 time(s) in 170 post(s)
Yep, warm out there, my sounder was reading 28.something in 60m last weekend. Should het a good show on the radar anyway.
Dodgy records for 2022: 1520mm
2023: 2710mm 2024: 951.6mm
Jan 24: 449.6mm
Feb 24: 350mm
Mar 24: 152mm
thanks 1 user thanked ronfishes for this useful post.
28degrees on 17/01/2021(UTC)
Offline Dormant  
#584 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 5:57:30 PM(UTC)
Dormant

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 9/01/2021(UTC)
Posts: 76
Location: Daintree

Thanks: 1 times
Was thanked: 52 time(s) in 42 post(s)
Hmmm, the longer its out there...over water.
thanks 1 user thanked Dormant for this useful post.
28degrees on 17/01/2021(UTC)
Offline 28degrees  
#585 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 7:06:56 PM(UTC)
28degrees

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 27/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 873
Australia
Location: Chillagoe

Thanks: 1364 times
Was thanked: 409 time(s) in 288 post(s)
That track looks like it hits the 800 metre peaks of the Featherbeds & takes a detour. Bugger...
Offline ronfishes  
#586 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 7:08:14 PM(UTC)
ronfishes

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 21/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 252
Australia
Location: Cairns

Thanks: 141 times
Was thanked: 244 time(s) in 170 post(s)
About 40mm of nice steady rain this arvo. Only one sort of squally bit when it first came over.
Dodgy records for 2022: 1520mm
2023: 2710mm 2024: 951.6mm
Jan 24: 449.6mm
Feb 24: 350mm
Mar 24: 152mm
thanks 1 user thanked ronfishes for this useful post.
28degrees on 17/01/2021(UTC)
Offline Weary  
#587 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 7:11:22 PM(UTC)
Weary

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 12/02/2020(UTC)
Posts: 259
Australia
Location: Cairns

Was thanked: 290 time(s) in 182 post(s)
From the latest JTWC forecast (19:00)

THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE PEAK
INTENSITY AS MIDGET CYCLONES CAN RAPIDLY INTENSIFY UNEXPECTEDLY.
thanks 1 user thanked Weary for this useful post.
28degrees on 17/01/2021(UTC)
Offline 28degrees  
#588 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 7:14:36 PM(UTC)
28degrees

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 27/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 873
Australia
Location: Chillagoe

Thanks: 1364 times
Was thanked: 409 time(s) in 288 post(s)
A spectacular 4mm. 😑
Offline Hickory  
#589 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 7:35:16 PM(UTC)
Hickory

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 21/02/2020(UTC)
Posts: 80
Australia
Location: Holloways Beach

Was thanked: 26 time(s) in 24 post(s)
Originally Posted by: Weary Go to Quoted Post

.... BTW. Does anyone know where all the cyclone nerds have gone to so they can argue about the finer technical details online?



Who cares. BigGrin BigGrin

thanks 1 user thanked Hickory for this useful post.
28degrees on 17/01/2021(UTC)
Offline Weary  
#590 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 7:45:14 PM(UTC)
Weary

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 12/02/2020(UTC)
Posts: 259
Australia
Location: Cairns

Was thanked: 290 time(s) in 182 post(s)
Cardwell is looking good for a crossing the way things are changing atm
FF898554-F54B-48D4-8E94-37DDA8DD515A.png
thanks 2 users thanked Weary for this useful post.
28degrees on 17/01/2021(UTC), monkeybusiness on 17/01/2021(UTC)
Offline ronfishes  
#591 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 7:54:39 PM(UTC)
ronfishes

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 21/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 252
Australia
Location: Cairns

Thanks: 141 times
Was thanked: 244 time(s) in 170 post(s)
😂
Dodgy records for 2022: 1520mm
2023: 2710mm 2024: 951.6mm
Jan 24: 449.6mm
Feb 24: 350mm
Mar 24: 152mm
Offline 28degrees  
#592 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 8:02:48 PM(UTC)
28degrees

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 27/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 873
Australia
Location: Chillagoe

Thanks: 1364 times
Was thanked: 409 time(s) in 288 post(s)
Geez there goes our rain, again. Lol.

So is this the crazy way midget cyclones behave? Looks like the low could do a loop & come our way in any case. 🥱🥱
thanks 1 user thanked 28degrees for this useful post.
monkeybusiness on 17/01/2021(UTC)
Offline Weary  
#593 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 8:11:12 PM(UTC)
Weary

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 12/02/2020(UTC)
Posts: 259
Australia
Location: Cairns

Was thanked: 290 time(s) in 182 post(s)
Originally Posted by: 28degrees Go to Quoted Post
Geez there goes our rain, again. Lol.

So is this the crazy way midget cyclones behave? Looks like the low could do a loop & come our way in any case. 🥱🥱


If goes that way it dodges the Featherbeds

thanks 1 user thanked Weary for this useful post.
28degrees on 17/01/2021(UTC)
Offline 28degrees  
#594 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 8:12:54 PM(UTC)
28degrees

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 27/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 873
Australia
Location: Chillagoe

Thanks: 1364 times
Was thanked: 409 time(s) in 288 post(s)
Smart Kimi.

Notice JTWC second advice has not changed the track. Do they know something we don't? Is BOM just keeping us entertained?

Edited by user Sunday, 17 January 2021 8:15:09 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Offline Weary  
#595 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 8:21:27 PM(UTC)
Weary

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 12/02/2020(UTC)
Posts: 259
Australia
Location: Cairns

Was thanked: 290 time(s) in 182 post(s)
Originally Posted by: 28degrees Go to Quoted Post
Smart Kimi.

Notice JTWC second advice has not changed the track. Do they know something we don't? Is BOM just keeping us entertained?


When you read the detail of the JTWC report they are basically saying they have NFI where it’s going to go.
thanks 3 users thanked Weary for this useful post.
DelBoy on 17/01/2021(UTC), Paul Atkins on 17/01/2021(UTC), 28degrees on 17/01/2021(UTC)
Offline beej  
#596 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 8:58:32 PM(UTC)
beej

Rank: Newbie

Groups: Registered
Joined: 5/01/2021(UTC)
Posts: 7
Australia
Location: Julatten Qld

Thanks: 12 times
Was thanked: 5 time(s) in 4 post(s)


Hey all,

Nothing to report this way for the week. If we are to believe the latest EC model, we're in for a wet night up here at least starting from 7.00PM, but nothing as yet. GFS won't have a bar of it, so have to tend to agree with their forecast so far. Early days though. I tried to attach EC's 11.00 PM forecast from Windy because it was pretty full on, but still trying to learn how to do this stuff!

Notice JTWC's 7.00PM report hasn't really moved from their previous path prediction for Kimi, apart from an earlier crossing. Interesting to see what we wake up to??

cheers


thanks 2 users thanked beej for this useful post.
DelBoy on 17/01/2021(UTC), monkeybusiness on 17/01/2021(UTC)
Offline beej  
#597 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 9:04:24 PM(UTC)
beej

Rank: Newbie

Groups: Registered
Joined: 5/01/2021(UTC)
Posts: 7
Australia
Location: Julatten Qld

Thanks: 12 times
Was thanked: 5 time(s) in 4 post(s)

Bugger,

Sorry 28 and Weary, just read your last posts.. I had better get this attachment stuff sorted out and keep up with the times hey!
thanks 1 user thanked beej for this useful post.
28degrees on 17/01/2021(UTC)
Offline 28degrees  
#598 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 9:29:32 PM(UTC)
28degrees

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 27/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 873
Australia
Location: Chillagoe

Thanks: 1364 times
Was thanked: 409 time(s) in 288 post(s)
Originally Posted by: beej Go to Quoted Post

Bugger,

Sorry 28 and Weary, just read your last posts.. I had better get this attachment stuff sorted out and keep up with the times hey!


I keep answering before I've read all the posts too.


You north or south of Cairns beej?
Offline beej  
#599 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 9:33:55 PM(UTC)
beej

Rank: Newbie

Groups: Registered
Joined: 5/01/2021(UTC)
Posts: 7
Australia
Location: Julatten Qld

Thanks: 12 times
Was thanked: 5 time(s) in 4 post(s)
From Julatten here 28.

Edited by user Sunday, 17 January 2021 9:37:50 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

thanks 1 user thanked beej for this useful post.
28degrees on 17/01/2021(UTC)
Offline 28degrees  
#600 Posted : Sunday, 17 January 2021 9:42:01 PM(UTC)
28degrees

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 27/08/2019(UTC)
Posts: 873
Australia
Location: Chillagoe

Thanks: 1364 times
Was thanked: 409 time(s) in 288 post(s)
Originally Posted by: beej Go to Quoted Post
From Julatten here 28.


So slightly inland, but not by much. Do you get a lot more rain than Mount Molloy?
Users browsing this topic
Guest (4)
98 Pages«<2829303132>»
Forum Jump  
You cannot post new topics in this forum.
You cannot reply to topics in this forum.
You cannot delete your posts in this forum.
You cannot edit your posts in this forum.
You cannot create polls in this forum.
You cannot vote in polls in this forum.

Weather Forum

Weatherzone Forum Alternative

The Weather Forum for Australia

Australian Weather Forum

Weather Forum for Australia, climate change, storm chasing, cyclones, weather photography