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SEQ/NE NSW Showers and Storms - Possible big falls - 11th Dec - 13th Dec
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A whopping 0.2mm here from a brief shower. Not quite Brisbane totals from yesterday! Great explanation Colin on why things didn't quite materialise today. Edited by user Thursday, 12 December 2019 6:54:43 PM(UTC)
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Here comes my turn!  Edited by user Thursday, 12 December 2019 6:56:20 PM(UTC)
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Small cell just over Bracken Ridge throwing out a few bits of lightning ( mostly sheet lightning) and some nice rumbles of thunder. |
Colin Maitland. |
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A small cell approaching from the west passed to my north with no rain. Thunder was heard from 6:20pm until about 7pm. Unless the cell near Somerset Dam that is not heading my way can expand that might be all for here. |
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Hi Everyone from Ningi!
Only a brief light shower here and just enough to wet the ground.
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Welcome Kelly and I am glad you managed to get at least a small drop of rain. Hopefully more to come tomorrow.
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Unfortunately for us on the Eastern side of the range and closer to the Bay, yesterday’s storms, except for a couple of small depleted cells, one which just struggled past BR. basically chocked on a very strong NE to NNE wind. Most of the morning and early afternoon the winds from both the Brisbane airport and Redcliffe were relatively calm. They averaged at both sites around 7-11 km/h and at one point registered calm. I mentioned that yesterday in one of my posts as this was looking positive because nearly everyday from early morning we have very strong winds which is annoying rather than a nice gentle seabreeze to cool you down. Around 1400 and maybe a little before the winds picked up and started gusting up to 43km/h and with a week sheer storm they just got shredded once they hit those strong winds. Absolutely chocked them to death except for the fragments of a couple of the severe cells.. Today we start over again. Once again week sheers so it is a wait and see. Very coastal but this early out it is looking better. But once again the 11:00 sounding is important and it would be awesome if they let another ballon go around 14:30- 1500 to see how much of the atmosphere has changed. Below is 2 forecast soundings from GFS. 10:00 am and 19:00. I do like the 10:00 am sounding but as you can see how it changes during the day. To me that is the main problem with storm predictions. Every second the atmosphere changes and no 2 storms are ever the same.   |
Colin Maitland. |
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Great stuff Colin. Lets see how this morning pans out. Quite overcast here at the moment.
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Same near the Bay here at BR. Still warm so it could still have enough time to build . Saturday is also looking like a slim chance of a storm although more East of the range and a little more coastal. Just a waiting games right now. This morning sounding. Almost Déjà Vu in some ways. The sheer is stronger today and good moisture and lots of instability. The waiting game.  Edited by user Friday, 13 December 2019 11:12:24 AM(UTC)
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Colin Maitland. |
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Cells popping up now at 12:10. Nice cell near Harrisville and a good cell further North and Nanango  |
Colin Maitland. |
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Some of the cell are looking nasty. 2 of them have been labeled VDS. 2 warnings out right now. The storm heading towards Logan and Redlands is pretty impressive.   Edited by user Friday, 13 December 2019 2:21:04 PM(UTC)
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Colin Maitland. |
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Stradbroke is looking rather nasty! 
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Some impressive rain totals coming in from the northern Gold Coast on various social media sites.
I will see if I can find a BOM table.
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Latest information of the storm from BoM’s warning. Weather Situation: The Bureau of Meteorology warns that, at 2:35 pm, very dangerous thunderstorms were detected on the weather radar near the area northwest of Noosa Heads, the area north of Noosa Heads, the area southeast of Gympie, the area east of Gympie, the area northeast of Gympie and Pomona. These thunderstorms are moving towards the northeast and are forecast to affect Goomboorian, Toolara Forest, Double Is Point, Tin Can Bay, Rainbow Beach and Wide Bay by 3:05 pm and Inskip and Inskip Point by 3:35 pm, these thunderstorms are likely to produce damaging winds and heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding and large, possibly giant hailstones. Other severe thunderstorms were detected on the weather radar near Canungra, Mount Tamborine, Clifton, Russell Island and Macleay Island. They are forecast to affect Cleveland, Tamborine, Jimboomba, Victoria Point, Dunwich and Peel Island by 3:05 pm and the area south of Toowoomba, Cambooya, Ormiston, Point Lookout, southern waters of Moreton Bay and Amity Point by 3:35 pm, these thunderstorms are likely to produce damaging winds and heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding for cells close to the Gold Coast. The cell south of Toowoomba is likely to produce damaging winds and large hailstones. 120mm was recorded at Biggera Creek Dam in 1hr
Hail of approximately 4-6cm was observed at KandangaLatest track paths  |
Colin Maitland. |
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FINALLY! Some rain for me up here. Only 7mm, but very welcome!
Hopefully more to follow later, but the hail can stay away if possible!
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Agree. Some grape fruit sized hail reporting on the Gold Coast. I don't want that on my roof! 
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This is the "V. Dangerous" Noosa cell. 
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Good news Pabloaka.
Beenleigh is just about to get smashed with a strong squall line ATM.
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Here is the latest visible image from Himiwari. Some lovely structure.  Edited by user Friday, 13 December 2019 3:42:06 PM(UTC)
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SEQ/NE NSW Showers and Storms - Possible big falls - 11th Dec - 13th Dec
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