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Offline Pabloako  
#21 Posted : Thursday, 12 December 2019 6:52:48 PM(UTC)
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A whopping 0.2mm here from a brief shower. Not quite Brisbane totals from yesterday!

Great explanation Colin on why things didn't quite materialise today.

Edited by user Thursday, 12 December 2019 6:54:43 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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Offline CantSpellNarangba  
#22 Posted : Thursday, 12 December 2019 6:55:45 PM(UTC)
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Here comes my turn!

IDR663.gif

Edited by user Thursday, 12 December 2019 6:56:20 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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Offline Colmait  
#23 Posted : Thursday, 12 December 2019 7:10:33 PM(UTC)
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Small cell just over Bracken Ridge throwing out a few bits of lightning ( mostly sheet lightning) and some nice rumbles of thunder.
Colin Maitland.
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Offline Falling_Droplet  
#24 Posted : Thursday, 12 December 2019 7:39:25 PM(UTC)
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A small cell approaching from the west passed to my north with no rain. Thunder was heard from 6:20pm until about 7pm. Unless the cell near Somerset Dam that is not heading my way can expand that might be all for here.
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Offline KellyT  
#25 Posted : Thursday, 12 December 2019 7:45:32 PM(UTC)
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Hi Everyone from Ningi!
Only a brief light shower here and just enough to wet the ground.
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Offline DelBoy  
#26 Posted : Thursday, 12 December 2019 7:50:45 PM(UTC)
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Welcome Kelly and I am glad you managed to get at least a small drop of rain. Hopefully more to come tomorrow.
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Offline Falling_Droplet  
#27 Posted : Thursday, 12 December 2019 10:12:59 PM(UTC)
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Colmait on 13/12/2019(UTC)
Offline Colmait  
#28 Posted : Friday, 13 December 2019 6:39:12 AM(UTC)
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Unfortunately for us on the Eastern side of the range and closer to the Bay, yesterday’s storms, except for a couple of small depleted cells, one which just struggled past BR. basically chocked on a very strong NE to NNE wind. Most of the morning and early afternoon the winds from both the Brisbane airport and Redcliffe were relatively calm. They averaged at both sites around 7-11 km/h and at one point registered calm.

I mentioned that yesterday in one of my posts as this was looking positive because nearly everyday from early morning we have very strong winds which is annoying rather than a nice gentle seabreeze to cool you down.

Around 1400 and maybe a little before the winds picked up and started gusting up to 43km/h and with a week sheer storm they just got shredded once they hit those strong winds. Absolutely chocked them to death except for the fragments of a couple of the severe cells..

Today we start over again. Once again week sheers so it is a wait and see. Very coastal but this early out it is looking better. But once again the 11:00 sounding is important and it would be awesome if they let another ballon go around 14:30- 1500 to see how much of the atmosphere has changed.

Below is 2 forecast soundings from GFS. 10:00 am and 19:00. I do like the 10:00 am sounding but as you can see how it changes during the day. To me that is the main problem with storm predictions. Every second the atmosphere changes and no 2 storms are ever the same.

BDFE1BA1-FC24-433C-8A82-4E181F1FC2CB.png
2FF33660-0D89-42D3-B298-A6AE356B542D.png
Colin Maitland.
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Offline Pabloako  
#29 Posted : Friday, 13 December 2019 10:36:58 AM(UTC)
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Great stuff Colin. Lets see how this morning pans out. Quite overcast here at the moment.
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Falling_Droplet on 13/12/2019(UTC)
Offline Colmait  
#30 Posted : Friday, 13 December 2019 11:10:45 AM(UTC)
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Same near the Bay here at BR. Still warm so it could still have enough time to build .
Saturday is also looking like a slim chance of a storm although more East of the range and a little more coastal.
Just a waiting games right now.

This morning sounding. Almost Déjà Vu in some ways. The sheer is stronger today and good moisture and lots of instability. The waiting game.

2AAA5AD5-E1A7-4AB2-8ADD-19A05DCA7F93.png

Edited by user Friday, 13 December 2019 11:12:24 AM(UTC)  | Reason: Fixing stuff

Colin Maitland.
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Offline Colmait  
#31 Posted : Friday, 13 December 2019 12:13:33 PM(UTC)
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Cells popping up now at 12:10.

Nice cell near Harrisville and a good cell further North and Nanango

F003D93B-879D-4A83-8915-63683550EF38.png
Colin Maitland.
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Offline Colmait  
#32 Posted : Friday, 13 December 2019 2:19:52 PM(UTC)
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Some of the cell are looking nasty. 2 of them have been labeled VDS. 2 warnings out right now.
The storm heading towards Logan and Redlands is pretty impressive.

328C93A8-5328-4DB5-8F79-134D40F9F772.png

25B1B7C9-38A3-4D6D-AA43-11476EEEA355.png

Edited by user Friday, 13 December 2019 2:21:04 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Photos loaded in wrong order

Colin Maitland.
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Falling_Droplet on 13/12/2019(UTC)
Offline Pabloako  
#33 Posted : Friday, 13 December 2019 2:37:58 PM(UTC)
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Stradbroke is looking rather nasty!
IDR663.gif
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Offline SatMan  
#34 Posted : Friday, 13 December 2019 3:02:03 PM(UTC)
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Some impressive rain totals coming in from the northern Gold Coast on various social media sites.
I will see if I can find a BOM table.
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Offline Colmait  
#35 Posted : Friday, 13 December 2019 3:03:16 PM(UTC)
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Latest information of the storm from BoM’s warning.

Weather Situation:

The Bureau of Meteorology warns that, at 2:35 pm, very dangerous thunderstorms were detected on the weather radar near the area northwest of Noosa Heads, the area north of Noosa Heads, the area southeast of Gympie, the area east of Gympie, the area northeast of Gympie and Pomona. These thunderstorms are moving towards the northeast and are forecast to affect Goomboorian, Toolara Forest, Double Is Point, Tin Can Bay, Rainbow Beach and Wide Bay by 3:05 pm and Inskip and Inskip Point by 3:35 pm, these thunderstorms are likely to produce damaging winds and heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding and large, possibly giant hailstones.

Other severe thunderstorms were detected on the weather radar near Canungra, Mount Tamborine, Clifton, Russell Island and Macleay Island. They are forecast to affect Cleveland, Tamborine, Jimboomba, Victoria Point, Dunwich and Peel Island by 3:05 pm and the area south of Toowoomba, Cambooya, Ormiston, Point Lookout, southern waters of Moreton Bay and Amity Point by 3:35 pm, these thunderstorms are likely to produce damaging winds and heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding for cells close to the Gold Coast. The cell south of Toowoomba is likely to produce damaging winds and large hailstones.

120mm was recorded at Biggera Creek Dam in 1hr

Hail of approximately 4-6cm was observed at Kandanga


Latest track paths
F51154CF-E679-4A6A-AEB7-54097B964F08.png


Colin Maitland.
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Offline Pabloako  
#36 Posted : Friday, 13 December 2019 3:29:18 PM(UTC)
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FINALLY! Some rain for me up here. Only 7mm, but very welcome!
Hopefully more to follow later, but the hail can stay away if possible!
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Offline DelBoy  
#37 Posted : Friday, 13 December 2019 3:31:47 PM(UTC)
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Agree. Some grape fruit sized hail reporting on the Gold Coast. I don't want that on my roof!

IDR663 (1).gif

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Offline DelBoy  
#38 Posted : Friday, 13 December 2019 3:32:53 PM(UTC)
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This is the "V. Dangerous" Noosa cell.
IDR083.gif
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Offline Colmait  
#39 Posted : Friday, 13 December 2019 3:33:24 PM(UTC)
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Good news Pabloaka.

Beenleigh is just about to get smashed with a strong squall line ATM.
Colin Maitland.
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Offline SatMan  
#40 Posted : Friday, 13 December 2019 3:41:01 PM(UTC)
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Here is the latest visible image from Himiwari.
Some lovely structure.

Untitled.jpg

Edited by user Friday, 13 December 2019 3:42:06 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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